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Ararat Yerevan 2 vs Lernayin Artsakh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Armenia Armenia

First League
Wed, Oct 14, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ararat Yerevan 2 host Lernayin Artsakh in the First League. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Ararat Yerevan 2 have averaged 1.25 scored and 2.07 conceded recently, against Lernayin Artsakh's 1.07 scored and 2.76 conceded. Head-to-head, Ararat Yerevan 2 have won 1 to Lernayin Artsakh's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 31, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 2.63, favoring Ararat Yerevan 2. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Ararat Yerevan 2
15%
Draws
51%
Lernayin Artsakh
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lernayin Artsakh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Ararat Yerevan 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Ararat Yerevan 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Lernayin Artsakh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ararat Yerevan 2 Lernayin Artsakh
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 6
Draws 2 1
Losses 17 22
Goals Scored 1.25 1.07
Goals Conceded 2.07 2.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 First League
Ararat Yerevan 2 vs Lernayin Artsakh
0:1
Sep 11, 2025 First League
Lernayin Artsakh vs Ararat Yerevan 2
2:1
Mar 25, 2025 First League
Lernayin Artsakh vs Ararat Yerevan 2
1:1
Sep 13, 2024 First League
Ararat Yerevan 2 vs Lernayin Artsakh
1:0
May 27, 2024 First League
Ararat Yerevan 2 vs Lernayin Artsakh
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ararat Yerevan 2 34 / 100
Lernayin Artsakh 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ararat Yerevan 2 Lernayin Artsakh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lernayin Artsakh Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lernayin Artsakh let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Ararat Yerevan 2 found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Ararat Yerevan 2 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ararat Yerevan 2 VS Lernayin Artsakh
1.13 Goals Scored 2.63
2.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Ararat Yerevan 2

(Home)
22 Sept
Ararat Yerevan 2
2 : 1
Pyunik Yerevan 2
14 Sept
Noah 2
0 : 4
Ararat Yerevan 2
07 Sept
Ararat Yerevan 2
0 : 1
Olympia Yerevan
19 Aug
Ararat Yerevan 2
1 : 2
Shirak Gyumri 2
09 Aug
Araks Ararat
3 : 1
Ararat Yerevan 2
Page 1 of 6

Lernayin Artsakh

(Away)
08 Oct
Lernayin Artsakh
1 : 2
Araks Ararat
21 Sept
Andranik
1 : 2
Lernayin Artsakh
15 Sept
Lernayin Artsakh
4 : 2
Sardarapat 2
08 Sept
Bentonit
4 : 3
Lernayin Artsakh
02 Sept
Lernayin Artsakh
5 : 0
Urartu 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olympia Yerevan 7 6 1 0 18:5 19
2 Andranik 8 5 1 2 21:9 16
3 BKMA 2 8 5 1 2 18:8 16
4 Bentonit 8 4 3 1 25:16 15
5 Araks Ararat 7 3 3 1 10:6 12
6 Lernayin Artsakh 8 4 0 4 17:16 12
7 Pyunik Yerevan 2 9 3 2 4 14:16 11
8 Mika 8 3 2 3 15:16 11
9 Shirak Gyumri 2 7 3 1 3 7:12 10
10 Urartu 2 8 1 5 2 11:17 8
11 Ararat Yerevan 2 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
12 Noah 2 8 1 3 4 8:20 6
13 Ararat-Armenia 2 8 1 2 5 8:16 5
14 Sardarapat 2 8 1 0 7 6:18 3
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