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Ararat Yerevan 2 vs Mika - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Armenia Armenia

First League
Mon, Nov 2, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ararat Yerevan 2 host Mika in the First League. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Mika have shipped 2.07 goals a game lately, while Ararat Yerevan 2 have conceded 2.07 and scored 1.25. Past meetings favor Ararat Yerevan 2 slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 20, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.50 - 1.88) back Mika to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Ararat Yerevan 2
20%
Draws
46%
Mika
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mika

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Mika carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ararat Yerevan 2 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Ararat Yerevan 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Mika Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ararat Yerevan 2 Mika
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 2 6
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.25 1.37
Goals Conceded 2.07 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2026 First League
Ararat Yerevan 2 vs Mika
2:1
Oct 7, 2025 First League
Mika vs Ararat Yerevan 2
2:2
May 19, 2025 First League
Mika vs Ararat Yerevan 2
2:2
Nov 25, 2024 First League
Ararat Yerevan 2 vs Mika
3:2
May 21, 2024 First League
Mika vs Ararat Yerevan 2
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ararat Yerevan 2 38 / 100
Mika 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ararat Yerevan 2 Mika

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ararat Yerevan 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mika has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Ararat Yerevan 2 scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Ararat Yerevan 2 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ararat Yerevan 2 VS Mika
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ararat Yerevan 2

(Home)
22 Sept
Ararat Yerevan 2
2 : 1
Pyunik Yerevan 2
14 Sept
Noah 2
0 : 4
Ararat Yerevan 2
07 Sept
Ararat Yerevan 2
0 : 1
Olympia Yerevan
19 Aug
Ararat Yerevan 2
1 : 2
Shirak Gyumri 2
09 Aug
Araks Ararat
3 : 1
Ararat Yerevan 2
Page 1 of 6

Mika

(Away)
08 Oct
Mika
3 : 2
Sardarapat 2
22 Sept
Bentonit
2 : 1
Mika
15 Sept
Mika
1 : 1
Urartu 2
01 Sept
Ararat-Armenia 2
1 : 1
Mika
26 Aug
Mika
4 : 3
Bentonit
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olympia Yerevan 7 6 1 0 18:5 19
2 Andranik 8 5 1 2 21:9 16
3 BKMA 2 8 5 1 2 18:8 16
4 Bentonit 8 4 3 1 25:16 15
5 Araks Ararat 7 3 3 1 10:6 12
6 Lernayin Artsakh 8 4 0 4 17:16 12
7 Pyunik Yerevan 2 9 3 2 4 14:16 11
8 Mika 8 3 2 3 15:16 11
9 Shirak Gyumri 2 7 3 1 3 7:12 10
10 Urartu 2 8 1 5 2 11:17 8
11 Ararat Yerevan 2 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
12 Noah 2 8 1 3 4 8:20 6
13 Ararat-Armenia 2 8 1 2 5 8:16 5
14 Sardarapat 2 8 1 0 7 6:18 3
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