Sport Picks

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Ararat Yerevan vs Pyunik Yerevan

Armenia Armenia

Premier League 2025/2026 Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Hovhannisyan K.
15'
James Santos
26'
Fofana M.

AI Match Summary

Ararat Yerevan in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ararat Yerevan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Ararat Yerevan
28%
Draws
50%
Pyunik Yerevan
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Pyunik Yerevan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Ararat Yerevan haven't matched Pyunik Yerevan's recent run of results.
  • Pyunik Yerevan are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Pyunik Yerevan here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Ararat Yerevan Clean Sheet 14%
Pyunik Yerevan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ararat Yerevan Pyunik Yerevan
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 7 19
Draws 5 8
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 2.25 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Premier League
Ararat Yerevan vs Pyunik Yerevan
1:0
Nov 30, 2025 Premier League
Pyunik Yerevan vs Ararat Yerevan
2:0
Aug 22, 2025 Premier League
Ararat Yerevan vs Pyunik Yerevan
0:2
May 17, 2025 Premier League
Pyunik Yerevan vs Ararat Yerevan
5:2
Nov 2, 2024 Premier League
Ararat Yerevan vs Pyunik Yerevan
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ararat Yerevan Compare

Top Goalscorer Doumbia K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Pyunik Yerevan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ararat Yerevan 23 / 100
Pyunik Yerevan 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ararat Yerevan Pyunik Yerevan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PYU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Ararat Yerevan has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ararat Yerevan found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Pyunik Yerevan let in goals in 58% of their last 36 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ararat Yerevan VS Pyunik Yerevan
1.13 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ararat-Armenia27186350:2560
2Noah27168361:1956
3Pyunik Yerevan27174637:1855
4Alashkert27165642:2353
5Urartu27147643:2649
6Van27941427:4031
7BKMA274111230:4223
8FC Gandzasar27561620:4121
9Ararat Yerevan27342021:6313
10Shirak Gyumri27271817:5113