Sport Picks

Armenia

Premier League 2025/2026 Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium

Shirak Gyumri

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ararat Yerevan play Shirak Gyumri in the Premier League 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ararat Yerevan averaged 1.13 goals scored and 2.38 conceded. Shirak Gyumri averaged 0.38 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Ararat Yerevan won 3, Shirak Gyumri won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 1, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Ararat Yerevan and 1.38 for Shirak Gyumri. This points to a Ararat Yerevan double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Ararat Yerevan

33%

Draws

40%

Shirak Gyumri

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Shirak Gyumri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Ararat Yerevan has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Shirak Gyumri.
Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Shirak Gyumri.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Premier League 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

Ararat Yerevan Clean Sheet 17%

Shirak Gyumri Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ararat Yerevan	Shirak Gyumri
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	7	5
Draws	5	6
Losses	18	19
Goals Scored	1.13	0.38
Goals Conceded	2.38	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.38	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Premier League

Shirak Gyumri vs Ararat Yerevan

Possession: 56% - 42% Cards: 1 - 3

0:2

Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly

Ararat Yerevan vs Shirak Gyumri

Possession: 51% - 52% Cards: 3 - 1

1:0

Nov 9, 2025 Premier League

Ararat Yerevan vs Shirak Gyumri

Possession: 45% - 41% Cards: 1 - 3

0:0

Sep 12, 2025 Premier League

Shirak Gyumri vs Ararat Yerevan

Possession: 41% - 49% Cards: 0 - 1

4:2

Apr 8, 2025 Premier League

Shirak Gyumri vs Ararat Yerevan

Possession: 52% - 58% Cards: 2 - 3

1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ararat Yerevan 28 / 100

Shirak Gyumri 50 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ararat Yerevan Shirak Gyumri

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHI Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ararat Yerevan scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Shirak Gyumri let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Ararat Yerevan went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Shirak Gyumri lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ararat Yerevan VS Shirak Gyumri

1.13 Goals Scored 0.38

2.38 Goals Conceded 1.5

75% Over 1.5 50%

38% Over 2.5 25%

38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ararat-Armenia	27	18	6	3	50:25	60
2	Noah	27	16	8	3	61:19	56
3	Pyunik Yerevan	27	17	4	6	37:18	55
4	Alashkert	27	16	5	6	42:23	53
5	Urartu	27	14	7	6	43:26	49
6	Van	27	9	4	14	27:40	31
7	BKMA	27	4	11	12	30:42	23
8	FC Gandzasar	27	5	6	16	20:41	21
9	Ararat Yerevan	27	3	4	20	21:63	13
10	Shirak Gyumri	27	2	7	18	17:51	13