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Club Friendly

Van

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ararat Yerevan play Van in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ararat Yerevan averaged 1.07 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. Van averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.55 conceded. In past meetings, Ararat Yerevan won 2, Van won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 4, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Ararat Yerevan and 1.25 for Van. This points to a Van double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%

Ararat Yerevan

15%

Draws

50%

Van

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Van

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Ararat Yerevan picked up more points recently compared to Van.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.25 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 73%

Over 2.5 Goals 59%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%

Ararat Yerevan Clean Sheet 19%

Van Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 66%

Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ararat Yerevan	Van
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	7	10
Draws	4	4
Losses	18	15
Goals Scored	1.07	1.17
Goals Conceded	2.07	1.55
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Premier League

Ararat Yerevan vs Van

Possession: 54% - 42% Cards: 2 - 0

1:2

Mar 7, 2026 Premier League

Van vs Ararat Yerevan

Possession: 50% - 50% Cards: 3 - 4

1:2

Feb 21, 2026 Club Friendly

Van vs Ararat Yerevan

Possession: 52% - 43% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

Aug 9, 2025 Premier League

Ararat Yerevan vs Van

Possession: 56% - 49% Cards: 2 - 0

0:1

May 8, 2025 Premier League

Ararat Yerevan vs Van

Possession: 41% - 53% Cards: 2 - 1

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ararat Yerevan 35 / 100

Van 47 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ararat Yerevan Van

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Van or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +29.5%

3.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.5%

1.89

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ararat Yerevan attacking → ← attacking Van

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ararat Yerevan scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Van let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Ararat Yerevan went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Van lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 34

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25