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Araucaria vs Prudentopolis

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense 3 2025
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Prudentopolis advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Araucaria
15%
Draws
0%
Prudentopolis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Araucaria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Araucaria's 1.48 goals per match outpaces what Prudentopolis have produced (0.97).
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Araucaria taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Prudentopolis, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Araucaria Clean Sheet 20%
Prudentopolis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araucaria Prudentopolis
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 9 10
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.48 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.39 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Paranaense 2
Prudentopolis vs Araucaria
0:1
Nov 9, 2025 Paranaense 3
Prudentopolis vs Araucaria
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 Paranaense 3
Araucaria vs Prudentopolis
0:2
Oct 5, 2025 Paranaense 3
Prudentopolis vs Araucaria
2:1
Sep 13, 2025 Paranaense 3
Araucaria vs Prudentopolis
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araucaria 85 / 100
Prudentopolis 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araucaria Prudentopolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Araucaria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Prudentopolis's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Araucaria found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Araucaria went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Araucaria VS Prudentopolis
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Araucaria

(Home)
23 May
Parana
2 : 1
Araucaria
17 May
Araucaria
0 : 2
Parana
11 May
Araucaria
1 : 0
Rio Branco PR
03 May
Rio Branco PR
2 : 5
Araucaria
25 Apr
Batel
0 : 1
Araucaria
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Prudentopolis

(Away)
25 Apr
Rio Branco PR
3 : 1
Prudentopolis
18 Apr
Patriotas
2 : 1
Prudentopolis
12 Apr
Prudentopolis
0 : 1
Araucaria
04 Apr
Prudentopolis
0 : 1
Laranja Mecanica
29 Mar
Paranavai-PR
2 : 1
Prudentopolis
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Uniao PR 1
Araucaria 2
Oeste Brasil 1
Prudentopolis 3
Vere FC 3
Rolandia EC 2
City London 3
CA Cambe 2
Semi-finals
Araucaria 1
Prudentopolis 3
Vere FC 5
City London 4
Final
Prudentopolis 1
Vere FC 0