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Aravaca CF vs Alcorcon B

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 7 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alcorcon B in this Tercera Division - Group 7 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alcorcon B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Aravaca CF
20%
Draws
46%
Alcorcon B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alcorcon B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Aravaca CF haven't matched Alcorcon B's recent run of results.
  • Alcorcon B are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 7 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Aravaca CF Clean Sheet 20%
Alcorcon B Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aravaca CF Alcorcon B
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 8 13
Draws 6 11
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.33 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.67 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcorcon B vs Aravaca CF
2:1
Oct 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Aravaca CF vs Alcorcon B
2:2
Mar 12, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Aravaca CF vs Alcorcon B
0:2
Oct 23, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcorcon B vs Aravaca CF
0:0
Apr 17, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Aravaca CF vs Alcorcon B
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aravaca CF 24 / 100
Alcorcon B 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aravaca CF Alcorcon B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcorcon B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aravaca CF scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Alcorcon B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 35 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Aravaca CF has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Alcorcon B
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aravaca CF

(Home)
11 May
Carabanchel
1 : 0
Aravaca CF
04 May
Aravaca CF
6 : 1
El Alamo
26 Apr
Collado Villalba
4 : 2
Aravaca CF
17 Apr
Aravaca CF
1 : 0
Galapagar
13 Apr
Trival Valderas
2 : 1
Aravaca CF
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Alcorcon B

(Away)
10 May
Trival Valderas
2 : 2
Alcorcon B
03 May
Alcorcon B
0 : 1
AD Torrejon
26 Apr
Parla
0 : 4
Alcorcon B
19 Apr
Galapagar
0 : 2
Alcorcon B
11 Apr
Alcorcon B
1 : 1
Mexico
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid B 38 23 4 11 63:40 73
2 Union Adarve 38 19 9 10 55:41 66
3 Mexico 38 16 15 7 49:28 63
4 CD Mostoles 38 16 14 8 62:41 62
5 Leganes B 38 18 8 12 57:45 62
6 Getafe B 38 17 9 12 54:35 60
7 Atletico Pinto 38 15 13 10 36:30 58
8 RSD Alcala 38 14 15 9 36:28 57
9 DUX Internacional de Madrid 38 15 11 12 52:40 56
10 Santa Ana 38 15 8 15 43:54 53
11 Villaverde San Andres 38 13 10 15 41:52 49
12 San Fernando de Henares 38 12 13 13 44:43 49
13 Alcorcon B 38 12 12 14 40:46 48
14 Pozuelo de Alarcon 38 11 15 12 40:35 48
15 Rayo Vallecano B 38 12 11 15 57:49 47
16 Trival Valderas 38 11 13 14 44:48 46
17 Alcobendas 38 10 14 14 29:37 44
18 Aravaca CF 38 9 11 18 36:64 38
19 Siello 38 7 10 21 21:57 31
20 Parla 38 4 7 27 21:67 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)