Sport Picks
Aravaca CF vs Rayo Vallecano B
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 7 2016/2017 
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 7 2016/2017 game between Aravaca CF and Rayo Vallecano B finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rayo Vallecano B.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aravaca CF
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Aravaca CF carry the better recent record into this one.
- 57% — that's where the model lands on Aravaca CF taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Aravaca CF Clean Sheet 20%
Rayo Vallecano B Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aravaca CF | Rayo Vallecano B |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 16 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.67 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 0.99 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Aravaca CF vs Rayo Vallecano B
2:5
Sep 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Rayo Vallecano B vs Aravaca CF
1:1
May 7, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Aravaca CF vs Rayo Vallecano B
0:3
Dec 21, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Rayo Vallecano B vs Aravaca CF
4:0
Mar 26, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Rayo Vallecano B vs Aravaca CF
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aravaca CF 85 / 100
Rayo Vallecano B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aravaca CF Rayo Vallecano B
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aravaca CF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rayo Vallecano B has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Aravaca CF scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Away concern: Rayo Vallecano B has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Rayo Vallecano B
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Aravaca CF
(Home) 11 May
Carabanchel
1 : 0 Aravaca CF
04 May
Aravaca CF
6 : 1 El Alamo
26 Apr
Collado Villalba
4 : 2 Aravaca CF
17 Apr
Aravaca CF
1 : 0 Galapagar
13 Apr
Trival Valderas
2 : 1 Aravaca CF
Page 1 of 6
04 May
Aravaca CF
6 : 1 El Alamo
17 Apr
Aravaca CF
1 : 0 Galapagar
30 Mar
Aravaca CF
1 : 1 Mexico
16 Mar
Aravaca CF
0 : 4 Villaverde San Andres
02 Mar
Aravaca CF
1 : 2 Canillas
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Rayo Vallecano B
(Away) 14 Aug
Getafe B
4 : 0 Rayo Vallecano B
03 May
Rayo Majadahonda
3 : 0 Rayo Vallecano B
26 Apr
Rayo Vallecano B
0 : 2 Socuellamos
19 Apr
RSD Alcala
3 : 0 Rayo Vallecano B
12 Apr
Rayo Vallecano B
3 : 1 CF Intercity
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14 Aug
Getafe B
4 : 0 Rayo Vallecano B
03 May
Rayo Majadahonda
3 : 0 Rayo Vallecano B
19 Apr
RSD Alcala
3 : 0 Rayo Vallecano B
04 Apr
Ilicitano
2 : 1 Rayo Vallecano B
22 Mar
Real Madrid C
1 : 0 Rayo Vallecano B
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atl. Madrid B | 38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | 63:40 | 73 |
| 2 | Union Adarve | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 55:41 | 66 |
| 3 | Mexico | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 49:28 | 63 |
| 4 | CD Mostoles | 38 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 62:41 | 62 |
| 5 | Leganes B | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 57:45 | 62 |
| 6 | Getafe B | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 54:35 | 60 |
| 7 | Atletico Pinto | 38 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 36:30 | 58 |
| 8 | RSD Alcala | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 36:28 | 57 |
| 9 | DUX Internacional de Madrid | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 52:40 | 56 |
| 10 | Santa Ana | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 43:54 | 53 |
| 11 | Villaverde San Andres | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 41:52 | 49 |
| 12 | San Fernando de Henares | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 44:43 | 49 |
| 13 | Alcorcon B | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 40:46 | 48 |
| 14 | Pozuelo de Alarcon | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 40:35 | 48 |
| 15 | Rayo Vallecano B | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 57:49 | 47 |
| 16 | Trival Valderas | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 44:48 | 46 |
| 17 | Alcobendas | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 29:37 | 44 |
| 18 | Aravaca CF | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 36:64 | 38 |
| 19 | Siello | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 21:57 | 31 |
| 20 | Parla | 38 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 21:67 | 19 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)
