Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 7 2016/2017

San Fernando de Henares

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aravaca CF play San Fernando de Henares in the Tercera Division - Group 7 2016/2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, Aravaca CF averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. San Fernando de Henares averaged 1 goals scored and 1.39 conceded. In past meetings, Aravaca CF won 0, San Fernando de Henares won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 15, 2017 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Aravaca CF and 1.38 for San Fernando de Henares. This points to a San Fernando de Henares double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%

Aravaca CF

22%

Draws

45%

San Fernando de Henares

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: San Fernando de Henares

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

Aravaca CF picked up more points recently compared to San Fernando de Henares.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 73%

Over 2.5 Goals 53%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%

Aravaca CF Clean Sheet 17%

San Fernando de Henares Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 66%

Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Aravaca CF	San Fernando de Henares
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	8	9
Draws	6	8
Losses	16	14
Goals Scored	1.33	1
Goals Conceded	1.67	1.39

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

Aravaca CF vs San Fernando de Henares

Possession: 44% - 54% Cards: 3 - 2

1:3

Aug 28, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

San Fernando de Henares vs Aravaca CF

Possession: 55% - 55% Cards: 3 - 2

3:0

May 15, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

San Fernando de Henares vs Aravaca CF

Possession: 43% - 56% Cards: 0 - 2

2:2

Jan 10, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

Aravaca CF vs San Fernando de Henares

Possession: 50% - 42% Cards: 1 - 0

2:3

Feb 9, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

Aravaca CF vs San Fernando de Henares

Possession: 49% - 42% Cards: 4 - 1

0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aravaca CF 33 / 100

San Fernando de Henares 43 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Aravaca CF San Fernando de Henares

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: San Fernando de Henares or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +32%

4.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.9%

2.13

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Aravaca CF attacking → ← attacking San Fernando de Henares

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aravaca CF scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

San Fernando de Henares let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Aravaca CF went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

San Fernando de Henares lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 35

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Atl. Madrid B	38	23	4	11	63:40	73
2	Union Adarve	38	19	9	10	55:41	66
3	Mexico	38	16	15	7	49:28	63
4	CD Mostoles	38	16	14	8	62:41	62
5	Leganes B	38	18	8	12	57:45	62
6	Getafe B	38	17	9	12	54:35	60
7	Atletico Pinto	38	15	13	10	36:30	58
8	RSD Alcala	38	14	15	9	36:28	57
9	DUX Internacional de Madrid	38	15	11	12	52:40	56
10	Santa Ana	38	15	8	15	43:54	53
11	Villaverde San Andres	38	13	10	15	41:52	49
12	San Fernando de Henares	38	12	13	13	44:43	49
13	Alcorcon B	38	12	12	14	40:46	48
14	Pozuelo de Alarcon	38	11	15	12	40:35	48
15	Rayo Vallecano B	38	12	11	15	57:49	47
16	Trival Valderas	38	11	13	14	44:48	46
17	Alcobendas	38	10	14	14	29:37	44
18	Aravaca CF	38	9	11	18	36:64	38
19	Siello	38	7	10	21	21:57	31
20	Parla	38	4	7	27	21:67	19