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Araxa vs EC Itauna Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Mineiro 2 2008
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Mineiro 2 2008 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Araxa
30%
Draws
47%
EC Itauna
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: EC Itauna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Araxa lately — more wins on the board than EC Itauna.
  • Araxa are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Araxa Clean Sheet 20%
EC Itauna Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araxa EC Itauna
Matches Played 19 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 6 11
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.05 1.3
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2009 Mineiro 2
EC Itauna vs Araxa
3:1
Mar 5, 2009 Mineiro 2
Araxa vs EC Itauna
0:0
Apr 30, 2008 Mineiro 2
Araxa vs EC Itauna
1:1
Mar 16, 2008 Mineiro 2
EC Itauna vs Araxa
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araxa 49 / 100
EC Itauna 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araxa EC Itauna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Araxa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EC Itauna let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Araxa found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (19 games).

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

EC Itauna lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Araxa VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Araxa

(Home)
26 Sept
Araxa
1 : 2
Paracatu
18 Sept
Sao Joao del Rei
2 : 0
Araxa
07 Nov
Mamore
2 : 1
Araxa
28 Oct
Araxa
1 : 1
Mamore
14 Oct
Nacional Uberaba
1 : 1
Araxa
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EC Itauna

(Away)
20 Mar
EC Itauna
2 : 2
Tombense
16 Mar
Nacional MG
7 : 3
EC Itauna
13 Mar
Formiga EC
3 : 1
EC Itauna
11 Mar
EC Itauna
3 : 1
Tricordiano
05 Mar
Pocos de Caldas
3 : 0
EC Itauna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America Mineiro 20 12 5 3 33:14 41
2 Uberlandia 20 10 6 4 25:12 36
3 Caldense 20 11 2 7 29:20 35
4 EC Itauna 20 8 7 5 21:15 31
5 Araxa 20 6 9 5 21:21 27
6 Pocos de Caldas 20 4 11 5 22:24 23
7 URT 20 4 11 5 28:29 23
8 Ideal FC 20 6 4 10 21:29 22
9 Formiga EC 20 6 4 10 17:26 22
10 Valeriodoce 20 4 8 8 18:21 20
11 Uniao Luziense 20 4 3 13 21:45 15
Promotion - Campeonato Mineiro 2009 (Main)