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Araxa vs Essube

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2024
Sat, Sep 21, 2024
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Araxa host Essube in the Mineiro 3 2024. This one's hard to separate. Araxa have averaged 1.11 scored and 0.68 conceded recently, against Essube's 1.35 scored and 1.4 conceded. Head-to-head, Araxa have won 0 to Essube's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Sep 28, 2024, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.04 - 1.49) back Araxa to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Araxa
20%
Draws
0%
Essube
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Araxa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Araxa have won more games recently than Essube.
  • Model gives Araxa a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Mineiro 3 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Araxa Clean Sheet 16%
Essube Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araxa Essube
Matches Played 19 20
Wins 9 6
Draws 6 4
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 1.11 1.35
Goals Conceded 0.68 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2024 Mineiro 3
Essube vs Araxa
0:0
Sep 21, 2024 Mineiro 3
Araxa vs Essube
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araxa 84 / 100
Essube 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araxa Essube

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Araxa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Essube has conceded goals in 80% of their last 20 outings.

Difficult form: Essube registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Araxa scored in 79% of their last 19 outings.

Recent resilience: Araxa stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Araxa VS Essube
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Araxa

(Home)
07 Nov
Mamore
2 : 1
Araxa
28 Oct
Araxa
1 : 1
Mamore
14 Oct
Nacional Uberaba
1 : 1
Araxa
08 Oct
Araxa
1 : 0
Pirapora
02 Oct
Mamore
2 : 1
Araxa
Page 1 of 4

Essube

(Away)
22 Nov
Coimbra Esporte Clube
2 : 0
Essube
15 Nov
Essube
1 : 3
Boa
08 Nov
Tupi-MG
1 : 0
Essube
01 Nov
Novo Esporte
2 : 0
Essube
25 Oct
Essube
0 : 2
Paracatu
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coimbra Esporte Clube 8 6 2 0 21:7 20
2 Contagem 8 4 3 1 14:6 15
3 America TO 8 4 1 3 9:6 13
4 Boston City 8 1 2 5 5:18 5
5 Social 8 0 2 6 3:15 2
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarani-MG 10 9 0 1 21:4 27
2 Tupynambas 10 7 0 3 29:8 21
3 Inter de Minas 10 4 3 3 19:17 15
4 Villa Real 10 4 1 5 15:20 13
5 Pocos de Caldas 10 2 2 6 12:20 8
6 Tres Coracoes 10 1 0 9 5:32 3
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Essube 8 5 1 2 20:10 16
2 Uberaba 8 5 1 2 18:11 16
3 Paracatu 8 4 2 2 18:6 14
4 Nacional Uberaba 8 4 0 4 17:14 12
5 Araguari 8 0 0 8 1:33 0
6 Araxa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams