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Araxa vs Montes Claros

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Mineiro 2 2014
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Mineiro 2 2014 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Araxa
35%
Draws
32%
Montes Claros
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Araxa haven't matched Montes Claros's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Araxa Clean Sheet 20%
Montes Claros Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araxa Montes Claros
Matches Played 23 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 8 9
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 0.96 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2015 Mineiro 2
Montes Claros vs Araxa
0:1
Feb 26, 2015 Mineiro 2
Araxa vs Montes Claros
0:0
Mar 9, 2014 Mineiro 2
Araxa vs Montes Claros
0:0
Feb 2, 2014 Mineiro 2
Montes Claros vs Araxa
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araxa 31 / 100
Montes Claros 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araxa Montes Claros

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Araxa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Araxa scored in 70% of their last 23 games.

Montes Claros's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Away concern: Montes Claros has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Araxa VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Araxa

(Home)
26 Sept
Araxa
1 : 2
Paracatu
18 Sept
Sao Joao del Rei
2 : 0
Araxa
07 Nov
Mamore
2 : 1
Araxa
28 Oct
Araxa
1 : 1
Mamore
14 Oct
Nacional Uberaba
1 : 1
Araxa
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Montes Claros

(Away)
21 Mar
Tricordiano
1 : 0
Montes Claros
19 Mar
Montes Claros
1 : 1
Patrocinense
14 Mar
Montes Claros
0 : 1
Araxa
12 Mar
Uberlandia
1 : 1
Montes Claros
07 Mar
CAP Uberlandia
3 : 1
Montes Claros
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