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Araxa vs Nacional Uberaba

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 3 2022 game between Araxa and Nacional Uberaba finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Araxa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Araxa
28%
Draws
22%
Nacional Uberaba
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Araxa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nacional Uberaba come out ahead of Araxa on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Araxa taking it.
  • Regular Mineiro 3 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Araxa Clean Sheet 17%
Nacional Uberaba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araxa Nacional Uberaba
Matches Played 20 28
Wins 9 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 0 1.75
Goals Conceded 0 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2024 Mineiro 3
Nacional Uberaba vs Araxa
0:0
Aug 31, 2024 Mineiro 3
Araxa vs Nacional Uberaba
0:0
Oct 14, 2023 Mineiro 3
Nacional Uberaba vs Araxa
1:1
Sep 2, 2023 Mineiro 3
Araxa vs Nacional Uberaba
4:1
Aug 27, 2022 Mineiro 3
Araxa vs Nacional Uberaba
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araxa 48 / 100
Nacional Uberaba 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araxa Nacional Uberaba

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Araxa's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

Nacional Uberaba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Araxa has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Araxa VS Nacional Uberaba
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

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PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Araxa75207:217
2Coimbra Esporte Clube741213:813
3Nacional Uberaba740311:812
4Mamore733112:812
5Inter de Minas72237:88
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