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Araxa vs Varginha

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-0. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Araxa
30%
Draws
34%
Varginha
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Araxa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Araxa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Araxa taking it.
  • Araxa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Araxa Clean Sheet 20%
Varginha Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araxa Varginha
Matches Played 20 32
Wins 9 8
Draws 7 10
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 0 0.63
Goals Conceded 0 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 28, 2021 Mineiro 3
Araxa vs Varginha
0:0
Nov 21, 2021 Mineiro 3
Varginha vs Araxa
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araxa 36 / 100
Varginha 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araxa Varginha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Araxa's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

Varginha's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.

Araxa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 0.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Araxa VS Varginha
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Araxa

(Home)
07 Nov
Mamore
2 : 1
Araxa
28 Oct
Araxa
1 : 1
Mamore
14 Oct
Nacional Uberaba
1 : 1
Araxa
08 Oct
Araxa
1 : 0
Pirapora
02 Oct
Mamore
2 : 1
Araxa
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Varginha

(Away)
21 Jun
URT
1 : 2
Varginha
15 Jun
Varginha
2 : 2
Uberaba
08 Jun
Varginha
1 : 1
Caldense
02 Jun
Mamore
1 : 1
Varginha
28 May
Patrocinense
0 : 2
Varginha
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Uberaba3
Boston City1
Santarritense0
Manchester Futebol1
America TO1
Pocos de Caldas1
Araxa0
Varginha1
Semi-finals
Uberaba3
Manchester Futebol0
America TO0
Varginha2
Final
Uberaba3
Varginha3