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Araz PFK vs Kapaz 2 Prediction & H2H Stats

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2022/2023
Araz PFK Logo

Araz PFK

4 - 0
FT
Kapaz 2 Logo

Kapaz 2

Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Muradbayli F.
71' Event
Qurbanov B.
74' Event
Atlam E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2022/2023 game between Araz PFK and Kapaz 2 finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Araz PFK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Araz PFK
15%
Draws
73%
Kapaz 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kapaz 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Araz PFK haven't matched Kapaz 2's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Kapaz 2 a 73% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Araz PFK Clean Sheet 15%
Kapaz 2 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araz PFK Kapaz 2
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 10 13
Draws 5 4
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.19 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.81 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2023 I Liqa
Araz PFK vs Kapaz 2
4:0
Sep 14, 2022 I Liqa
Kapaz 2 vs Araz PFK
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Araz PFK Compare

Top Goalscorer Muradbayli F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Qurbanov B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Kapaz 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araz PFK 23 / 100
Kapaz 2 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araz PFK Kapaz 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kapaz 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kapaz 2 has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Araz PFK's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Kapaz 2 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Araz PFK VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Araz PFK

(Home)
20 Sept
Shamakhi
2 : 1
Araz PFK
13 Sept
Araz PFK
2 : 2
Turan
06 Sept
Qarabag Agdam
3 : 2
Araz PFK
31 Aug
Araz PFK
0 : 1
Sabah Baku
23 Aug
Neftci Baku
5 : 0
Araz PFK
Page 1 of 7

Kapaz 2

(Away)
23 May
SumQayit FK 2
3 : 2
Kapaz 2
19 May
Kapaz 2
2 : 1
Qarabag Agdam 2
10 May
Kapaz 2
0 : 1
Shamakhi 2
03 May
Imisli FK
1 : 2
Kapaz 2
17 Apr
Zaqatala PFK
2 : 0
Kapaz 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Araz PFK 28 22 3 3 69:22 69
2 Neftci Baku 2 28 18 5 5 67:32 59
3 Turan 2 28 15 3 10 49:37 48
4 Sabail 2 28 13 5 10 46:44 44
5 Gabala 2 28 12 8 8 45:28 44
6 Zaqatala PFK 28 13 5 10 49:48 44
7 Kapaz 2 28 13 4 11 41:36 43
8 MOIK Baku 28 12 7 9 43:42 43
9 Lokbatan 28 12 5 11 30:23 41
10 Shamakhi 2 28 11 4 13 40:56 37
11 Qarabag Agdam 2 28 9 4 15 32:39 31
12 Zira FK 2 28 6 10 12 28:41 28
13 SumQayit FK 2 28 6 4 18 36:60 22
14 Mingachevir 28 5 5 18 29:51 20
15 Imisli FK 28 6 2 20 21:66 20
Promotion - Premier League 2023/2024 (Main)