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Araz PFK vs Sabah FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League Gabala City Stadium, Gabala
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Mbina O.
68'
Sub
Nwachukwu C. In: Simic V.
Out: Nwachukwu C.
68'
Sub
Mutallimov T. In: Junior Almeida
Out: Mutallimov T.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Araz PFK and Sabah FC finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sabah FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Araz PFK
20%
Draws
73%
Sabah FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sabah FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Sabah FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Sabah FC a 73% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Araz PFK Clean Sheet 20%
Sabah FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araz PFK Sabah FC
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 8 22
Draws 4 4
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.07 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.96 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 Premier League
Araz PFK vs Sabah FC
0:1
Apr 7, 2026 Premier League
Araz PFK vs Sabah FC
2:4
Feb 8, 2026 Premier League
Sabah FC vs Araz PFK
4:1
Oct 25, 2025 Premier League
Araz PFK vs Sabah FC
2:2
May 3, 2025 Premier League
Araz PFK vs Sabah FC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Araz PFK Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Sabah FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Mbina O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araz PFK 10 / 100
Sabah FC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araz PFK Sabah FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sabah FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Araz PFK scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Sabah FC has conceded goals in 76% of their last 33 outings.

Araz PFK went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Araz PFK VS Sabah Baku
0.75 Goals Scored 2.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Araz PFK

(Home)
16 Oct
SumQayit FK
2 : 1
Araz PFK
09 Oct
Araz PFK
0 : 2
Kapaz
20 Sept
Shamakhi
2 : 1
Araz PFK
13 Sept
Araz PFK
2 : 2
Turan
06 Sept
Qarabag Agdam
3 : 2
Araz PFK
Page 1 of 6

Sabah FC

(Away)
20 Oct
Sabah Baku
1 : 2
Dortmund
17 Oct
Gabala
0 : 4
Sabah Baku
13 Oct
Sabah Baku
2 : 0
Slavia Prague
09 Oct
Neftci Baku
0 : 0
Sabah Baku
19 Sept
Sabah Baku
3 : 1
Imisli FK
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sabah FC 7 6 1 0 18:1 19
2 Neftci Baku 8 5 2 1 21:8 17
3 Qarabag Agdam 7 5 2 0 14:7 17
4 Turan 8 4 2 2 7:5 14
5 Shamakhi 8 3 4 1 12:9 13
6 Zira FK 8 3 3 2 9:10 12
7 Kapaz 7 3 2 2 7:8 11
8 SumQayit FK 7 2 2 3 10:10 8
9 Imisli FK 8 2 1 5 7:13 7
10 Gabala 8 1 1 6 3:15 4
11 Safa Baku 8 1 0 7 4:15 3
12 Araz PFK 8 0 2 6 6:17 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa 2027/2028 (Main)