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Araz PFK vs Zira FK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Araz PFK host Zira FK in the Premier League. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Araz PFK at 1.03 goals for, 1.93 against; Zira FK at 1.21 for, 1 against. Head-to-head, Araz PFK have won 2 to Zira FK's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 3:2. Model xG sits at 0.81 vs 1.75, favoring Zira FK. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Araz PFK
30%
Draws
58%
Zira FK
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zira FK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Zira FK carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Araz PFK are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Araz PFK Clean Sheet 12%
Zira FK Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araz PFK Zira FK
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 8 13
Draws 4 12
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 1.03 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.93 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Premier League
Araz PFK vs Zira FK
3:2
Feb 27, 2026 Premier League
Araz PFK vs Zira FK
0:1
Aug 19, 2025 Premier League
Zira FK vs Araz PFK
1:1
May 25, 2025 Premier League
Araz PFK vs Zira FK
0:1
Feb 28, 2025 Azerbaijan Cup
Zira FK vs Araz PFK
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araz PFK 40 / 100
Zira FK 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araz PFK Zira FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Araz PFK scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Zira FK has conceded goals in 58% of their last 33 outings.

Araz PFK went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Araz PFK VS Zira FK
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Araz PFK

(Home)
09 Oct
Araz PFK
0 : 2
Kapaz
20 Sept
Shamakhi
2 : 1
Araz PFK
13 Sept
Araz PFK
2 : 2
Turan
06 Sept
Qarabag Agdam
3 : 2
Araz PFK
31 Aug
Araz PFK
0 : 1
Sabah Baku
Page 1 of 6

Zira FK

(Away)
10 Oct
Zira FK
1 : 1
Shamakhi
19 Sept
Turan
1 : 0
Zira FK
13 Sept
Zira FK
1 : 1
Qarabag Agdam
05 Sept
Sabah Baku
5 : 0
Zira FK
30 Aug
Zira FK
1 : 0
Neftci Baku
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftci Baku 7 5 1 1 18:5 16
2 Sabah Baku 6 5 1 0 14:1 16
3 Qarabag Agdam 5 4 1 0 9:4 13
4 Turan 6 3 2 1 6:4 11
5 Zira FK 7 3 2 2 8:9 11
6 Kapaz 6 3 1 2 6:7 10
7 Shamakhi 7 2 4 1 9:7 10
8 SumQayit FK 6 1 2 3 8:9 5
9 Gabala 7 1 1 5 3:11 4
10 Imisli FK 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
11 Safa Baku 6 1 0 5 2:11 3
12 Araz PFK 7 0 2 5 5:15 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa 2027/2028 (Main)