Sport Picks

Azerbaijan

Premier League Liv Bona Dea Arena

Zira FK

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Araz PFK play Zira FK in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Araz PFK averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.88 conceded. Zira FK averaged 1 goals scored and 0.63 conceded. In past meetings, Araz PFK won 2, Zira FK won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 23, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Araz PFK and 1.44 for Zira FK. This points to a Zira FK double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Araz PFK

39%

Draws

30%

Zira FK

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Zira FK has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Araz PFK.
Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Premier League provide steady trend data.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

Araz PFK Clean Sheet 16%

Zira FK Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Araz PFK	Zira FK
Matches Played	30	34
Wins	10	12
Draws	6	14
Losses	14	8
Goals Scored	1.25	1
Goals Conceded	1.88	0.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Premier League

Araz PFK vs Zira FK

Possession: 51% - 51% Cards: 4 - 4

3:2

Feb 27, 2026 Premier League

Araz PFK vs Zira FK

Possession: 52% - 57% Cards: 0 - 1

0:1

Aug 19, 2025 Premier League

Zira FK vs Araz PFK

Possession: 55% - 53% Cards: 0 - 3

1:1

May 25, 2025 Premier League

Araz PFK vs Zira FK

Possession: 51% - 50% Cards: 3 - 1

0:1

Feb 28, 2025 Azerbaijan Cup

Zira FK vs Araz PFK

Possession: 52% - 45% Cards: 4 - 3

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Araz PFK Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Zira FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomis I.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araz PFK 31 / 100

Zira FK 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Araz PFK Zira FK

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZIR Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Araz PFK scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Zira FK let in goals in 56% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Araz PFK went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Zira FK lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Araz PFK VS Zira FK

1.25 Goals Scored 1

1.88 Goals Conceded 0.63

88% Over 1.5 63%

63% Over 2.5 13%

25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sabah Baku	33	24	6	3	75:25	78
2	Qarabag Agdam	33	21	6	6	71:27	69
3	Turan	33	17	8	8	44:27	59
4	Neftci Baku	33	16	11	6	57:32	59
5	Zira FK	33	13	14	6	43:36	53
6	Araz PFK	33	13	7	13	44:58	46
7	SumQayit FK	33	12	5	16	45:49	41
8	Shamakhi	33	9	11	13	31:40	38
9	Imisli FK	33	7	13	13	23:43	34
10	Kapaz	33	8	3	22	25:61	27
11	Gabala	33	7	6	20	32:49	27
12	Karvan	33	3	6	24	23:66	15