Sport Picks
Match Events
90'
90'
Mesmoudi B.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
20%
20%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Arba
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
60%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Arba come out ahead of Mostaganem on wins alone.
- Arba are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Arba have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Mostaganem, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Arba Clean Sheet 68%
Mostaganem Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arba | Mostaganem |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 5 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 15 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 13, 2025 Algeria Cup
Arba vs Mostaganem
0:1
May 24, 2024 Ligue 2
Arba vs Mostaganem
1:2
Jan 20, 2024 Ligue 2
Mostaganem vs Arba
4:1
Mar 16, 2013 Ligue 2
Mostaganem vs Arba
0:0
Nov 6, 2012 Ligue 2
Arba vs Mostaganem
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Arba Compare
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Mostaganem Compare
Top Goalscorer Mesmoudi B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arba 95 / 100
Mostaganem 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arba Mostaganem
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Arba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mostaganem let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Away concern: Mostaganem has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Attacking prowess: Arba scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Arba VS Mostaganem
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 3.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Arba
(Home) 09 May
JS El Biar
4 : 1 Arba
01 May
Arba
2 : 1 Bechar Djedid
25 Apr
CR Temouchent
1 : 0 Arba
18 Apr
Arba
2 : 0 Adrar
10 Apr
GC Mascara
2 : 1 Arba
Page 1 of 6
01 May
Arba
2 : 1 Bechar Djedid
18 Apr
Arba
2 : 0 Adrar
04 Apr
Arba
2 : 0 Harrach
14 Mar
Arba
2 : 2 WA Mostaganem
28 Feb
Arba
0 : 1 ASM Oran
Page 1 of 3
Mostaganem
(Away) 05 Jun
Mostaganem
2 : 2 El Bayadh
19 May
ES Ben Aknoun
3 : 0 Mostaganem
12 May
USM Alger
1 : 1 Mostaganem
07 May
Mostaganem
0 : 4 Saoura
10 Apr
Mostaganem
0 : 3 Khenchela
Page 1 of 6
19 May
ES Ben Aknoun
3 : 0 Mostaganem
12 May
USM Alger
1 : 1 Mostaganem
05 Apr
CR Belouizdad
7 : 0 Mostaganem
13 Mar
ASO Chlef
1 : 0 Mostaganem
28 Feb
ES Setif
3 : 0 Mostaganem
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
CA Batna 2
Annaba 1
Kolea 1
Bordj Menail 0
Paradou 3
Adrar 0
USF Constantine 4
Metlili Chaamba 2
Frenda 2
Mila 1
ASO Chlef 1
Sidi Abdelmoumen 0
MB Barika 1
Marsa El Hadjadj 0
Saida 3
Telaghema 0
MO Bejaia 1
Harrach 2
Kabylie 7
MB Hassi Messaoud 0
Magra 0
USM Alger 1
MO Constantine 3
Kais 1
Sidi Ali Boussidi 0
Arba 1
Oran 1
Mostaganem 2
Bethioua 0
Saoura 1
Khroub 2
Olympique Akbou 0
Constantine 4
JS El Biar 1
CR Temouchent 1
Hamaissa 0
Bechar Djedid 4
GC Mascara 3
ES Setif 1
Beni Thamou 0
Tessala 0
Bejaia 1
Widad Adabi de Boufarik 3
Naama 0
Beni Oulbane 0
Amal Bou Saada 1
Hussein Dey 3
Sedrata 0
Wifaq Ain Benian 2
SC Mecheria 1
CR Belouizdad 2
Oued Fodda 1
Ain Kercha 1
Illizi 0
Beni Thour 1
ASM Oran 2
MC Alger 1
El Bayadh 0
Khenchela 1
Rouisset 0
ES Ben Aknoun 2
RA Ain Defla 0
ESF Bir El Ater 2
Kadiria 0
1/16-finals
CA Batna 5
Kolea 1
Paradou 2
USF Constantine 0
Frenda 0
ASO Chlef 1
MB Barika 1
Saida 2
Harrach 1
Kabylie 0
USM Alger 3
MO Constantine 0
Arba 0
Mostaganem 1
Saoura 2
Khroub 0
Constantine 3
CR Temouchent 0
Bechar Djedid 0
ES Setif 4
Bejaia 4
Widad Adabi de Boufarik 1
Amal Bou Saada 0
Hussein Dey 1
Wifaq Ain Benian 1
CR Belouizdad 5
Ain Kercha 0
ASM Oran 2
MC Alger 2
Khenchela 1
ES Ben Aknoun 2
ESF Bir El Ater 0
1/8-finals
CA Batna 4
Paradou 3
ASO Chlef 0
Saida 1
Harrach 2
USM Alger 3
Mostaganem 0
Saoura 2
Constantine 2
ES Setif 1
Bejaia 3
Hussein Dey 0
CR Belouizdad 3
ASM Oran 0
MC Alger 1
ES Ben Aknoun 0
Quarter-finals
CA Batna 1
Saida 0
USM Alger 1
Saoura 0
Constantine 1
Bejaia 0
CR Belouizdad 3
MC Alger 2
Semi-finals
CA Batna 1
USM Alger 3
Constantine 2
CR Belouizdad 3
Final
USM Alger 2
CR Belouizdad 1
