Sport Picks
Match Events
8'
8'
Sverrisson E.
27'
27'
Robertsson G.
28'
28'
Joninuson B.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-7. This leg finished 1-7.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
73%
15%
12%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arbaer
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Arbaer at 2 per game, Aegir at 1.4.
- Arbaer are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Aegir, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Arbaer Clean Sheet 19%
Aegir Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arbaer | Aegir |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 15 | 35 |
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Draws | 0 | 3 |
| Losses | 7 | 24 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 3 | 2.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.67 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 5, 2026 Icelandic Cup
Arbaer vs Aegir
1:7
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Arbaer Compare
Top Goalscorer Gudjonsson E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83
Aegir Compare
Top Goalscorer Willard H.
2 Goals Assists Leader Sverrisson E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arbaer 85 / 100
Aegir 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arbaer Aegir
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Arbaer Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Arbaer's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 15 recent games.
Aegir's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 35 matches.
These sides typically produce 8.00 goals when they meet.
Difficult form: Aegir registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Aegir
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Arbaer
(Home) 05 Apr
Arbaer
1 : 7 Aegir
28 Mar
Lettir
3 : 5 Arbaer
19 Mar
Arbaer
1 : 0 Hafnir
16 Jul
Arbaer
3 : 4 Kormakur/Hvot
04 Apr
Kari
8 : 1 Arbaer
Page 1 of 3
05 Apr
Arbaer
1 : 7 Aegir
19 Mar
Arbaer
1 : 0 Hafnir
16 Jul
Arbaer
3 : 4 Kormakur/Hvot
29 Mar
Arbaer
4 : 1 Thorlakur
17 Jul
Arbaer
3 : 2 Olafsvik
Page 1 of 2
Aegir
(Away) 05 Sept
Aegir
1 : 1 Grindavik
28 Aug
Throttur
7 : 2 Aegir
21 Aug
Aegir
0 : 7 Afturelding
17 Aug
Leiknir Reykjavik
6 : 1 Aegir
13 Aug
Aegir
0 : 2 Volsungur
Page 1 of 7
28 Aug
Throttur
7 : 2 Aegir
17 Aug
Leiknir Reykjavik
6 : 1 Aegir
06 Aug
IR Reykjavik
3 : 2 Aegir
18 Jul
Grotta
6 : 1 Aegir
29 Jun
Afturelding
8 : 1 Aegir
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Hottur / Huginn -
TBD -
Einherji 2
Neisti 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KA Akureyri -
Lettir 7
Stokkseyri 3
Arbaer 1
Hafnir 0
Aegir -
TBD -
RB Keflavik 1
Reynir 7
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Throttur -
TBD -
Olafsvik 3
Arborg 2
Volsungur -
TBD -
TBD -
Kormakur/Hvot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Breidablik -
Akranes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vaengirs 2
Haukar 3
KFR -
IH Hafnarfjordur -
Reynir Hellissandur 0
Ellidi 9
TBD -
Grindavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Keflavik -
Alafoss 1
Fjolnir 4
KFG Gardabaer 2
Vidir 3
Kopavogur -
TBD -
BF 108 5
Afrika Reykjavik 1
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Fylkir -
TBD -
KV Reykjavik 5
KB Breidholt 0
Spyrnir -
Sindri -
TBD -
KFA -
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Vestri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
TBD -
Skallagrimur 2
Smari 3
Throttur Vogar 0
Grotta 2
Ulfarnir 4
Hamar 2
Alftanes 5
Kria 2
SR Reykjavik 2
Kari 8
IR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Afturelding -
Ymir 7
Falkar 0
KFS -
Thorlakur -
Tindastoll 3
Fjallabyggd 1
Dalvik/Reynir 1
Magni 3
Njardvik -
TBD -
KH Hlidarendi 1
Hviti 2
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KA Asvellir 0
Selfoss 3
IBU 1
Augnablik 12
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
1/32-finals
Hottur / Huginn 5
Neisti 0
TBD -
KA Akureyri -
Lettir 3
Arbaer 5
Aegir 2
Reynir 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
Throttur 3
Olafsvik 1
Volsungur 2
Kormakur/Hvot 3
TBD -
Breidablik -
Akranes -
TBD -
Haukar 3
KFR 0
Ellidi 0
Grindavik 2
TBD -
Keflavik -
Fjolnir 2
Vidir 1
Kopavogur 4
BF 108 0
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Fylkir 6
KV Reykjavik 0
Sindri 0
KFA 1
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Vestri -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik 3
Smari 0
Grotta 2
Ulfarnir 1
Alftanes 5
Kari 1
IR Reykjavik 2
Afturelding 3
Ymir 10
KFS 0
Tindastoll 3
Magni 1
Njardvik 5
Hviti 2
Stjarnan -
TBD -
Selfoss 7
Augnablik 1
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
1/16-finals
Hottur / Huginn 0
KA Akureyri 5
Arbaer 1
Aegir 7
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Throttur 3
Kormakur/Hvot 1
Breidablik 6
Akranes 4
Haukar 0
Grindavik 2
Keflavik 1
Fjolnir 3
Kopavogur 4
Fram 2
Vikingur Reykjavik 4
Fylkir 2
KFA 0
Thor Akureyri 2
Hafnarfjordur 4
Vestri 1
Leiknir Reykjavik 0
Grotta 1
Alftanes 0
Afturelding 6
Ymir 1
Tindastoll 0
Njardvik 1
Stjarnan 2
Selfoss 1
KR Reykjavik 4
Valur 2
1/8-finals
KA Akureyri 1
Aegir 2
Throttur 1
Breidablik 2
Akranes 3
Grindavik 2
Kopavogur 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Fylkir 5
Hafnarfjordur 0
Vestri 0
Grotta 4
Afturelding 5
Njardvik 2
Stjarnan 2
KR Reykjavik 1
Quarter-finals
Aegir 0
Breidablik 3
Akranes 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Fylkir 4
Grotta 2
Afturelding 3
Stjarnan 1
Semi-finals
Breidablik 3
Vikingur Reykjavik 0
Fylkir 1
Afturelding 2
Final
Breidablik 2
Afturelding 1
