Sport Picks
Match Events
8'
8'
Sverrisson E.
27'
27'
Robertsson G.
28'
28'
Joninuson B.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-7. This leg finished 1-7.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arbaer
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Arbaer at 2 per game, Aegir at 1.52.
- Arbaer are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Aegir, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Arbaer Clean Sheet 19%
Aegir Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arbaer | Aegir |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 15 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 7 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 3 | 2.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 5, 2026 Icelandic Cup
Arbaer vs Aegir
1:7
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Arbaer Compare
Top Goalscorer Gudjonsson E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68
Aegir Compare
Top Goalscorer Willard H.
2 Goals Assists Leader Sverrisson E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arbaer 40 / 100
Aegir 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arbaer Aegir
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ARB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Arbaer's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 15 recent games.
Aegir's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 8.00 goals when they meet.
Difficult form: Aegir registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Aegir
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Arbaer
(Home) 05 Apr
Arbaer
1 : 7 Aegir
28 Mar
Lettir
3 : 5 Arbaer
19 Mar
Arbaer
1 : 0 Hafnir
16 Jul
Arbaer
3 : 4 Kormakur/Hvot
04 Apr
Kari
8 : 1 Arbaer
Page 1 of 3
05 Apr
Arbaer
1 : 7 Aegir
19 Mar
Arbaer
1 : 0 Hafnir
16 Jul
Arbaer
3 : 4 Kormakur/Hvot
29 Mar
Arbaer
4 : 1 Thorlakur
17 Jul
Arbaer
3 : 2 Olafsvik
Page 1 of 2
Aegir
(Away) 06 Aug
IR Reykjavik
3 : 2 Aegir
28 Jul
Aegir
0 : 1 Njardvik
18 Jul
Grotta
6 : 1 Aegir
10 Jul
Aegir
3 : 4 Kopavogur
03 Jul
Aegir
2 : 4 Fylkir
Page 1 of 6
06 Aug
IR Reykjavik
3 : 2 Aegir
18 Jul
Grotta
6 : 1 Aegir
29 Jun
Afturelding
8 : 1 Aegir
26 Jun
Grindavik
0 : 0 Aegir
17 Jun
Vestri
3 : 2 Aegir
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Hottur / Huginn -
TBD -
Einherji 2
Neisti 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KA Akureyri -
Lettir 7
Stokkseyri 3
Arbaer 1
Hafnir 0
Aegir -
TBD -
RB Keflavik 1
Reynir 7
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Throttur -
TBD -
Olafsvik 3
Arborg 2
Volsungur -
TBD -
TBD -
Kormakur/Hvot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Breidablik -
Akranes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vaengirs 2
Haukar 3
KFR -
IH Hafnarfjordur -
Reynir Hellissandur 0
Ellidi 9
TBD -
Grindavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Keflavik -
Alafoss 1
Fjolnir 4
KFG Gardabaer 2
Vidir 3
Kopavogur -
TBD -
BF 108 5
Afrika Reykjavik 1
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Fylkir -
TBD -
KV Reykjavik 5
KB Breidholt 0
Spyrnir -
Sindri -
TBD -
KFA -
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Vestri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
TBD -
Skallagrimur 2
Smari 3
Throttur Vogar 0
Grotta 2
Ulfarnir 4
Hamar 2
Alftanes 5
Kria 2
SR Reykjavik 2
Kari 8
IR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Afturelding -
Ymir 7
Falkar 0
KFS -
Thorlakur -
Tindastoll 3
Fjallabyggd 1
Dalvik/Reynir 1
Magni 3
Njardvik -
TBD -
KH Hlidarendi 1
Hviti 2
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KA Asvellir 0
Selfoss 3
IBU 1
Augnablik 12
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
1/32-finals
Hottur / Huginn 5
Neisti 0
TBD -
KA Akureyri -
Lettir 3
Arbaer 5
Aegir 2
Reynir 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
Throttur 3
Olafsvik 1
Volsungur 2
Kormakur/Hvot 3
TBD -
Breidablik -
Akranes -
TBD -
Haukar 3
KFR 0
Ellidi 0
Grindavik 2
TBD -
Keflavik -
Fjolnir 2
Vidir 1
Kopavogur 4
BF 108 0
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Fylkir 6
KV Reykjavik 0
Sindri 0
KFA 1
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Vestri -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik 3
Smari 0
Grotta 2
Ulfarnir 1
Alftanes 5
Kari 1
IR Reykjavik 2
Afturelding 3
Ymir 10
KFS 0
Tindastoll 3
Magni 1
Njardvik 5
Hviti 2
Stjarnan -
TBD -
Selfoss 7
Augnablik 1
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
1/16-finals
Hottur / Huginn 0
KA Akureyri 5
Arbaer 1
Aegir 7
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Throttur 3
Kormakur/Hvot 1
Breidablik 6
Akranes 4
Haukar 0
Grindavik 2
Keflavik 1
Fjolnir 3
Kopavogur 4
Fram 2
Vikingur Reykjavik 4
Fylkir 2
KFA 0
Thor Akureyri 2
Hafnarfjordur 4
Vestri 1
Leiknir Reykjavik 0
Grotta 1
Alftanes 0
Afturelding 6
Ymir 1
Tindastoll 0
Njardvik 1
Stjarnan 2
Selfoss 1
KR Reykjavik 4
Valur 2
1/8-finals
KA Akureyri 1
Aegir 2
Throttur 1
Breidablik 2
Akranes 3
Grindavik 2
Kopavogur 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Fylkir 5
Hafnarfjordur 0
Vestri 0
Grotta 4
Afturelding 5
Njardvik 2
Stjarnan 2
KR Reykjavik 1
Quarter-finals
Aegir 0
Breidablik 3
Akranes 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Fylkir 4
Grotta 2
Afturelding 3
Stjarnan 1
Semi-finals
Breidablik 3
Vikingur Reykjavik 0
Fylkir 1
Afturelding 2
Final
Breidablik -
Afturelding -
