Sport Picks
Match Events
3'
3'
Hilmarsson H.
20'
20'
Bergthorsson S.
41'
41'
Hilmarsson H.
AI Match Summary
Kari in this Icelandic Cup 2023 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
17%
20%
63%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kari
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
63%
/ High Confidence
- Kari have won more games recently than Arborg.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Kari arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Kari, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Arborg Clean Sheet 10%
Kari Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arborg | Kari |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 36 |
| Wins | 9 | 20 |
| Draws | 1 | 9 |
| Losses | 20 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 2.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.23 | 1.64 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.48 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 6, 2023 Icelandic Cup
Arborg vs Kari
1:3
Apr 9, 2022 Icelandic Cup
Kari vs Arborg
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Arborg Compare
Top Goalscorer Margeirsson A. F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74
Kari Compare
Top Goalscorer Hilmarsson H.
2 Goals Assists Leader Bergthorsson S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.75
Avg xA / game 1.07
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arborg 34 / 100
Kari 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arborg Kari
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kari Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kari has conceded goals in 81% of their last 36 outings.
H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.
Arborg scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
Arborg has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Kari
0 Goals Scored 2.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 88%
Recent Form & Match History
Arborg
(Home) 22 Mar
Olafsvik
3 : 2 Arborg
28 Mar
Arborg
0 : 4 Augnablik
13 Apr
Arborg
1 : 2 Arbaer
06 Apr
Arborg
12 : 0 Reynir Hellissandur
19 Jul
Arborg
0 : 1 IH Hafnarfjordur
Page 1 of 6
28 Mar
Arborg
0 : 4 Augnablik
13 Apr
Arborg
1 : 2 Arbaer
06 Apr
Arborg
12 : 0 Reynir Hellissandur
19 Jul
Arborg
0 : 1 IH Hafnarfjordur
06 Apr
Arborg
1 : 3 Kari
Page 1 of 4
Kari
(Away) 28 Aug
Kari
2 : 0 Throttur Vogar
23 Aug
Kari
1 : 0 Fjolnir
19 Aug
Selfoss
2 : 2 Kari
15 Aug
Kari
4 : 1 Olafsvik
08 Aug
Dalvik/Reynir
1 : 1 Kari
Page 1 of 8
19 Aug
Selfoss
2 : 2 Kari
08 Aug
Dalvik/Reynir
1 : 1 Kari
24 Jul
Hviti
1 : 3 Kari
17 Jul
KFG Gardabaer
1 : 5 Kari
01 Jul
Haukar
4 : 1 Kari
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Kopavogur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KFG Gardabaer 7
Hafnir 0
IR Reykjavik 0
IH Hafnarfjordur 1
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
IBU 7
Hamar 0
KA Asvellir 5
Kormakur/Hvot 4
Valur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RB Keflavik 5
Alafoss 3
Hviti 3
GG Grindavik 2
Afturelding -
TBD -
TBD -
Grindavik -
Dalvik/Reynir -
TBD -
Hamrarnir 2
Tindastoll 7
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ymir 1
KFS 2
Throttur 18
Stokkseyri 0
KB Breidholt 2
Kria 4
TBD -
Fjolnir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Breidablik -
Berserkir / Midas 1
Smari 2
Reynir 1
Aegir 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
SR Reykjavik 1
Augnablik 5
Njardvik 4
Hordur Isafjordur 0
KFA -
TBD -
TBD -
Spyrnir -
Ellidi 0
Arborg 1
Kari 5
Lettir 0
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
Fjallabyggd -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
TBD -
Arbaer 2
Olafsvik 1
Reynir Hellissandur 1
KFK Kopavogur 7
Selfoss 7
Alftanes 1
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Volsungur -
TBD -
Magni 4
Samherjar 0
Grotta -
TBD -
TBD -
Vestri -
Skallagrimur 2
KFR 3
Vaengirs 4
KH Hlidarendi 5
Sindri -
TBD -
TBD -
Hottur / Huginn -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fylkir -
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ulfarnir 1
Throttur Vogar 3
KV Reykjavik 17
Afrika Reykjavik 0
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
Keflavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Akranes -
TBD -
Haukar 2
Vidir 3
1/32-finals
Kopavogur -
TBD -
KFG Gardabaer 3
IH Hafnarfjordur 2
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
IBU 4
KA Asvellir 3
Valur -
TBD -
RB Keflavik 3
Hviti 2
Afturelding 0
Grindavik 1
Dalvik/Reynir 2
Tindastoll 1
Fram -
TBD -
KFS 0
Throttur 5
Kria 0
Fjolnir 10
TBD -
Breidablik -
Smari 1
Aegir 6
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Augnablik 2
Njardvik 3
KFA 7
Spyrnir 1
Arborg 1
Kari 3
Thor Akureyri 6
Fjallabyggd 0
Leiknir Reykjavik 2
Arbaer 0
KFK Kopavogur 0
Selfoss 8
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
Volsungur 0
Magni 1
Grotta 1
Vestri 0
KFR 0
KH Hlidarendi 1
Sindri 4
Hottur / Huginn 3
TBD -
Fylkir -
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
Throttur Vogar 2
KV Reykjavik 0
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
Keflavik -
TBD -
Akranes 3
Vidir 0
1/16-finals
Kopavogur 5
KFG Gardabaer 0
KA Akureyri 5
IBU 0
Valur 4
RB Keflavik 1
Grindavik 2
Dalvik/Reynir 1
Fram 2
Throttur 3
Fjolnir 0
Breidablik 2
Aegir 1
Hafnarfjordur 3
Njardvik 4
KFA 1
Kari 1
Thor Akureyri 2
Leiknir Reykjavik 1
Selfoss 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 6
Magni 2
Grotta 4
KH Hlidarendi 3
Sindri 2
Fylkir 4
KR Reykjavik 3
Throttur Vogar 0
Stjarnan 1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0
Keflavik 1
Akranes 0
1/8-finals
Kopavogur 1
KA Akureyri 3
Valur 1
Grindavik 3
Throttur 0
Breidablik 3
Hafnarfjordur 2
Njardvik 1
Thor Akureyri 3
Leiknir Reykjavik 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Grotta 1
Fylkir 3
KR Reykjavik 4
Stjarnan 4
Keflavik 0
Quarter-finals
KA Akureyri 2
Grindavik 1
Breidablik 3
Hafnarfjordur 1
Thor Akureyri 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
KR Reykjavik 2
Stjarnan 1
Semi-finals
KA Akureyri 4
Breidablik 3
Vikingur Reykjavik 4
KR Reykjavik 1
Final
KA Akureyri 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
