Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arborg vs KB Breidholt

Iceland Iceland

Icelandic Cup 2012
Wed, May 16, 2012
3 - 4
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

KB Breidholt in this Icelandic Cup 2012 tie, finishing 3-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Arborg
15%
Draws
0%
KB Breidholt
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arborg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Arborg have won more games recently than KB Breidholt.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Arborg taking it.
  • Arborg have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor KB Breidholt, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 54.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Arborg Clean Sheet 10%
KB Breidholt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arborg KB Breidholt
Matches Played 30 20
Wins 9 4
Draws 1 0
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 1.83 1.2
Goals Conceded 2.23 3.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.51 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2017 Icelandic Cup
Arborg vs KB Breidholt
5:1
May 16, 2012 Icelandic Cup
Arborg vs KB Breidholt
3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arborg 83 / 100
KB Breidholt 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arborg KB Breidholt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arborg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KB Breidholt's defensive record shows goals conceded in 95% of 20 matches.

Historical meetings average 6.50 goals per match.

KB Breidholt lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Arborg's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Arborg VS KB Breidholt
0.88 Goals Scored 1
2.75 Goals Conceded 4.14
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Arborg

(Home)
22 Mar
Olafsvik
3 : 2
Arborg
28 Mar
Arborg
0 : 4
Augnablik
13 Apr
Arborg
1 : 2
Arbaer
06 Apr
Arborg
12 : 0
Reynir Hellissandur
19 Jul
Arborg
0 : 1
IH Hafnarfjordur
Page 1 of 6

KB Breidholt

(Away)
20 Mar
KV Reykjavik
5 : 0
KB Breidholt
31 Mar
KB Breidholt
2 : 4
Kria
10 Apr
KA Asvellir
4 : 0
KB Breidholt
23 Apr
KB Breidholt
1 : 6
Throttur
06 Jun
KFG Gardabaer
7 : 1
KB Breidholt
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Grindavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Keflavik -
Fjardabyggd 4
Sindri 2
Magni 0
KA Akureyri 7
Fylkir -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Fjolnir 6
Thor-th 0
Fakur 2
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 5
Hviti 2
Aegir 1
Olafsvik 4
Augnablik 2
Hamar 0
Leiknir Faskruds 1
Hottur 7
Breidablik -
TBD -
IH Hafnarfjordur 3
Bolungarvik 4
Akranes -
TBD -
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
Stjarnan -
TBD -
Berserkir 1
Grotta 2
Dalvik/Reynir 2
Tindastoll 0
Ymir 0
Reynir 3
Afturelding -
TBD -
Bjorninn 0
Throttur Vogar 1
Haukar 31
Snaefell 0
TBD -
Fram -
Selfoss -
TBD -
IR Reykjavik 2
Njardvik 4
KFS -
TBD -
Arborg 3
KB Breidholt 4
Valur -
TBD -
Fjallabyggd 1
Thor Akureyri 3
Leiknir Reykjavik 3
Kopavogur 1
Lettir 0
Throttur 5
1/16-finals
Grindavik 1
Keflavik 0
Fjardabyggd 0
KA Akureyri 2
Fylkir 2
Hafnarfjordur 1
Fjolnir 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Olafsvik 0
Augnablik 1
Hottur 4
Breidablik 5
Bolungarvik 0
Akranes 1
KR Reykjavik 2
Stjarnan 4
Grotta 1
Dalvik/Reynir 1
Reynir 3
Afturelding 3
Throttur Vogar 1
Haukar 1
Fram 2
Selfoss 2
Njardvik 1
KFS 0
KB Breidholt 1
Valur 4
Thor Akureyri 1
Leiknir Reykjavik 1
Throttur 2
1/8-finals
Grindavik 3
KA Akureyri 2
Fylkir 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 6
Hottur 1
Breidablik 0
KR Reykjavik 3
Stjarnan 1
Reynir 0
Afturelding 2
Fram 3
Selfoss 4
KB Breidholt 0
Valur 1
Throttur 2
Quarter-finals
Grindavik 3
Vikingur Reykjavik 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1
KR Reykjavik 2
Stjarnan 2
Fram 1
Selfoss 0
Throttur 3
Semi-finals
Grindavik 0
KR Reykjavik 1
Stjarnan 3
Throttur 0
Final
KR Reykjavik 2
Stjarnan 1