Sport Picks
Match Events
33'
33'
38'
38'
42'
42'
AI Match Summary
Arborg in this Icelandic Cup 2015 tie, finishing 9-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arborg
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Arborg lately — more wins on the board than Kongarnir.
- Win probability leans Arborg's way, sitting at 90%.
- Arborg have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Arborg, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Arborg Clean Sheet 16%
Kongarnir Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arborg | Kongarnir |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 7 |
| Wins | 9 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 20 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.23 | 7.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 4.00 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 1, 2015 Icelandic Cup
Arborg vs Kongarnir
9:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arborg 84 / 100
Kongarnir 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arborg Kongarnir
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Arborg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kongarnir's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 7 matches.
Games between these two average 9.00 goals.
Kongarnir's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
Arborg found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).
Scoring Trends
Arborg VS Kongarnir
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 10
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
Arborg
(Home) 22 Mar
Olafsvik
3 : 2 Arborg
28 Mar
Arborg
0 : 4 Augnablik
13 Apr
Arborg
1 : 2 Arbaer
06 Apr
Arborg
12 : 0 Reynir Hellissandur
19 Jul
Arborg
0 : 1 IH Hafnarfjordur
Page 1 of 6
28 Mar
Arborg
0 : 4 Augnablik
13 Apr
Arborg
1 : 2 Arbaer
06 Apr
Arborg
12 : 0 Reynir Hellissandur
19 Jul
Arborg
0 : 1 IH Hafnarfjordur
06 Apr
Arborg
1 : 3 Kari
Page 1 of 4
Kongarnir
(Away) 12 Apr
Vaengirs
9 : 0 Kongarnir
14 Apr
Vestri
18 : 2 Kongarnir
23 Apr
Kongarnir
1 : 3 Afrika Reykjavik
30 Apr
Kongarnir
0 : 2 KFR
01 May
Arborg
9 : 0 Kongarnir
Page 1 of 2
12 Apr
Vaengirs
9 : 0 Kongarnir
14 Apr
Vestri
18 : 2 Kongarnir
01 May
Arborg
9 : 0 Kongarnir
03 May
KH Hlidarendi
6 : 3 Kongarnir
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
Nokkvi 0
Dalvik/Reynir 1
Kria 2
Vidir 1
KFS 0
Alftanes 2
KFG Gardabaer 5
Hordur Isafjordur 0
Kongarnir 0
Arborg 9
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Breidablik -
Olafsvik -
TBD -
TBD -
Haukar -
Tindastoll -
TBD -
TBD -
Thor Akureyri -
Akranes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fjolnir -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sindri 4
Einherji 2
Hrafnkell Fr. 0
Hottur 16
Vatnaliljur 4
Midas 3
Armann 2
Berserkir 4
Skinandi 6
KFR 2
TBD -
Afturelding -
Fjardabyggd -
TBD -
Huginn 0
Leiknir Faskruds 1
Orninn 2
IH Hafnarfjordur 0
Hamar 0
Kari 7
Selfoss -
TBD -
Isbjorninn 0
Reynir 9
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Keflavik -
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
Grotta -
Aegir 6
Stal-Ulfur 2
SR Reykjavik 0
KV Reykjavik 3
Grindavik -
TBD -
KB Breidholt 2
Throttur Vogar 4
Magni 4
Hamrarnir 0
Fjallabyggd 0
Volsungur 2
Kopavogur -
TBD -
Snaefell 1
KH Hlidarendi 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Fylkir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Augnablik 7
Hviti 2
Afrika Reykjavik 0
Njardvik 8
Leiknir Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stjarnan -
Throttur -
TBD -
Gnupverjar 1
Vaengirs 3
Skallagrimur 11
Stokkseyri 0
TBD -
Bolungarvik -
Lettir 4
Ellidi 0
TBD -
IR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
1/32-finals
KA Akureyri 6
Dalvik/Reynir 0
Kria 0
Alftanes 1
KFG Gardabaer 2
Arborg 1
TBD -
Breidablik -
Olafsvik 2
Haukar 1
Tindastoll 0
Thor Akureyri 2
Akranes -
TBD -
TBD -
Fjolnir -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
Sindri 0
Hottur 1
Vatnaliljur 2
Berserkir 1
Skinandi 0
Afturelding 2
Fjardabyggd 2
Leiknir Faskruds 1
Orninn 2
Kari 4
Selfoss 2
Reynir 0
TBD -
Valur -
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Keflavik -
Fram 2
Grotta 0
Aegir 0
KV Reykjavik 3
Grindavik 1
Throttur Vogar 0
Magni 1
Volsungur 2
Kopavogur 3
KH Hlidarendi 0
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Fylkir -
TBD -
Augnablik 1
Njardvik 4
Leiknir Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Stjarnan -
Throttur 3
Vaengirs 0
Skallagrimur 0
Bolungarvik 6
Lettir 1
IR Reykjavik 0
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
1/16-finals
KA Akureyri 4
Alftanes 0
KFG Gardabaer 1
Breidablik 3
Olafsvik 3
Thor Akureyri 2
Akranes 0
Fjolnir 3
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Hottur 0
Vatnaliljur 0
Afturelding 3
Fjardabyggd 4
Kari 0
Selfoss 0
Valur 4
KR Reykjavik 5
Keflavik 0
Fram 1
KV Reykjavik 2
Grindavik 4
Volsungur 3
Kopavogur 1
Hafnarfjordur 2
Fylkir 3
Njardvik 2
Leiknir Reykjavik 1
Stjarnan 2
Throttur 4
Bolungarvik 1
Lettir 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 6
1/8-finals
KA Akureyri 1
Breidablik 0
Olafsvik 0
Fjolnir 4
Vikingur Reykjavik 1
Afturelding 0
Fjardabyggd 0
Valur 4
KR Reykjavik 7
KV Reykjavik 1
Grindavik 1
Hafnarfjordur 2
Fylkir 3
Stjarnan 0
Throttur 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Quarter-finals
KA Akureyri 2
Fjolnir 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 1
Valur 2
KR Reykjavik 2
Hafnarfjordur 1
Fylkir 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4
Semi-finals
KA Akureyri 1
Valur 2
KR Reykjavik 4
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1
Final
Valur 2
KR Reykjavik 0
