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Arbroath vs Livingston - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Championship Gayfield Park, Arbroath
Our Tip

Match Events

1'
MacPherson C.
32'
Watson C.
44'
MacPherson C.

AI Match Summary

The Championship game between Arbroath and Livingston finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arbroath.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Arbroath
20%
Draws
51%
Livingston
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Livingston

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Livingston carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Livingston a 51% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Arbroath Clean Sheet 19%
Livingston Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arbroath Livingston
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.93 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Championship
Arbroath vs Livingston
1:0
Jul 5, 2021 Club Friendly
Livingston vs Arbroath
4:0
Jul 16, 2014 Club Friendly
Arbroath vs Livingston
0:3
Jul 30, 2011 League Cup
Livingston vs Arbroath
6:0
Apr 16, 1999 League One
Arbroath vs Livingston
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arbroath 10 / 100
Livingston 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arbroath Livingston

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Livingston Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Livingston's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Arbroath scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Arbroath stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arbroath VS Livingston
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arbroath

(Home)
03 Oct
Partick
3 : 0
Arbroath
25 Sept
Arbroath
2 : 1
Queen's Park
19 Sept
Stenhousemuir
1 : 0
Arbroath
12 Sept
Raith
4 : 0
Arbroath
05 Sept
Arbroath
1 : 1
Dunfermline
Page 1 of 6

Livingston

(Away)
03 Oct
Livingston
1 : 2
Ayr
25 Sept
Raith
0 : 2
Livingston
19 Sept
Livingston
2 : 2
Inverness
11 Sept
Morton
1 : 4
Livingston
04 Sept
Livingston
0 : 1
Stenhousemuir
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stenhousemuir 8 7 1 0 12:2 22
2 Raith 9 5 2 2 13:6 17
3 Partick 8 4 3 1 8:2 15
4 Livingston 9 4 1 4 13:9 13
5 Dunfermline 7 3 3 1 6:4 12
6 Ayr 9 3 2 4 9:10 11
7 Arbroath 9 3 2 4 6:13 11
8 Inverness 8 2 4 2 9:9 10
9 Queen's Park 8 1 1 6 4:13 4
10 Morton 9 0 1 8 5:17 1
Promotion - Premiership 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)