Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ARC vs RKAV Volendam

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2021/2022 KWABO-stadion, Volendam
Our Tip

Match Events

75' Event
Tol J.

AI Match Summary

RKAV Volendam in this Derde Divisie 2021/2022 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
ARC
20%
Draws
40%
RKAV Volendam
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • RKAV Volendam have won more games recently than ARC.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on ARC taking it.
  • RKAV Volendam arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor RKAV Volendam, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
ARC Clean Sheet 16%
RKAV Volendam Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ARC RKAV Volendam
Matches Played 14 31
Wins 4 13
Draws 1 5
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.64 1.61
Goals Conceded 2.64 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 18, 2022 Derde Divisie
RKAV Volendam vs ARC
2:2
Jun 14, 2022 Derde Divisie
ARC vs RKAV Volendam
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ARC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

RKAV Volendam Compare

Top Goalscorer Tol J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ARC 84 / 100
RKAV Volendam 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ARC RKAV Volendam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: RKAV Volendam conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

ARC scored in 64% of their last 14 games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

RKAV Volendam lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS RKAV Volendam
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

ARC

(Home)
23 Sept
Koninklijke HFC
5 : 0
ARC
03 Sept
UNA
1 : 2
ARC
05 Aug
ARC
1 : 2
Lisse
18 Jun
RKAV Volendam
2 : 2
ARC
14 Jun
ARC
0 : 1
RKAV Volendam
Page 1 of 3

RKAV Volendam

(Away)
29 Aug
IJsselmeervogels
1 : 1
RKAV Volendam
22 Aug
RKAV Volendam
2 : 1
Spakenburg
15 Aug
Quick Boys
5 : 0
RKAV Volendam
05 Jul
RKAV Volendam
2 : 3
FC Volendam
23 May
Rijnsburgse Boys
7 : 0
RKAV Volendam
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
ODIN '59 4
ARC 5
RKAV Volendam 6
VV Zwaluwen 2
VVOG 5
Eemdijk 4
Sportclub Feyenoord 3
Genemuiden 2
Hoogland 5
VV Hoogeveen 2
OJC Rosmalen 7
VV SJC 0
HBS Craeyenhout 3
SV Orion 4
EVV 1
RKSV UDI 19 4
Final
ARC 2
RKAV Volendam 3
VVOG 4
Sportclub Feyenoord 1
Hoogland 4
OJC Rosmalen 5
SV Orion 4
RKSV UDI 19 5