Sport Picks

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Arcahaie vs AS Capoise

Haiti Haiti

Championnat National 2021
Sun, Jan 3, 2021
1 - 0
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arcahaie in this Championnat National 2021 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Arcahaie
35%
Draws
19%
AS Capoise
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Arcahaie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Arcahaie lately — more wins on the board than AS Capoise.
  • Arcahaie are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Arcahaie have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Arcahaie, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Arcahaie Clean Sheet 20%
AS Capoise Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arcahaie AS Capoise
Matches Played 28 36
Wins 11 10
Draws 7 12
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1 0.78
Goals Conceded 1.11 0.92
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 3, 2021 Championnat National
Arcahaie vs AS Capoise
1:0
Dec 30, 2020 Championnat National
AS Capoise vs Arcahaie
0:0
Nov 9, 2020 Championnat National
AS Capoise vs Arcahaie
0:1
Mar 8, 2020 Championnat National
AS Capoise vs Arcahaie
2:0
Aug 25, 2019 Championnat National
AS Capoise vs Arcahaie
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arcahaie 85 / 100
AS Capoise 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arcahaie AS Capoise

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arcahaie Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arcahaie's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: AS Capoise conceded in 64% of 36 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Arcahaie remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS AS Capoise
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Arcahaie

(Home)
16 May
Arcahaie
0 : 2
Waterhouse
13 May
Vega Real
2 : 1
Arcahaie
30 May
Ouanaminthe
0 : 3
Arcahaie
16 May
Triomphe Liancourt
1 : 1
Arcahaie
13 May
Fica
0 : 0
Arcahaie
Page 1 of 6

AS Capoise

(Away)
28 Jul
AS Capoise
0 : 3
La Clery
26 Jul
AS Capoise
0 : 3
Academy Eagles
01 Jun
AS Capoise
2 : 3
Juventus
28 May
AS Capoise
0 : 0
Fica
25 May
Fica
1 : 1
AS Capoise
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Baltimore -
TBD -
Violette 4
Triomphe Liancourt 2
Arcahaie -
TBD -
AS Capoise 4
Racing Haitien 3
Semi-finals
Baltimore 0
Violette 2
Arcahaie 1
AS Capoise 0
Final
Violette 3
Arcahaie 1