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Defensor Sp. vs Rentistas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Copa Uruguay
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AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-0. This leg finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Defensor Sp.
15%
Draws
57%
Rentistas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rentistas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Defensor Sp. haven't matched Rentistas's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Rentistas arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Rentistas, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Defensor Sp. Clean Sheet 16%
Rentistas Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Defensor Sp. Rentistas
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 11
Draws 10 8
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0.86 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2026 Copa Uruguay
Defensor Sp. vs Rentistas
0:0
Oct 22, 2022 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Defensor Sp. vs Rentistas
2:3
Jun 5, 2022 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Rentistas vs Defensor Sp.
1:0
Mar 25, 2021 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Defensor Sp. vs Rentistas
0:0
Oct 7, 2020 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Rentistas vs Defensor Sp.
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Defensor Sp. 31 / 100
Rentistas 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Defensor Sp. Rentistas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensor Sp.'s goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Rentistas conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Rentistas's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Defensor Sp. VS Rentistas
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Defensor Sp.

(Home)
17 Oct
Boston River
1 : 0
Defensor Sp.
10 Oct
Defensor Sp.
2 : 3
CA Cerro
03 Oct
Albion
3 : 2
Defensor Sp.
30 Sept
Defensor Sp.
0 : 1
Plaza Colonia
27 Sept
Defensor Sp.
1 : 0
Danubio
Page 1 of 6

Rentistas

(Away)
18 Oct
Rentistas
3 : 0
Atenas
15 Oct
Club Nacional
3 : 0
Rentistas
10 Oct
Paysandu FC
2 : 1
Rentistas
03 Oct
Rentistas
2 : 1
Huracan FC
30 Sept
Cerro Largo
1 : 0
Rentistas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Penarol 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
2 Montevideo City 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 Danubio 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
4 Atenas 3 0 2 1 7:8 2
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plaza Colonia 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
2 Cerro Largo 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Rentistas 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 Defensor Sp. 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maldonado 3 2 0 1 8:2 6
2 Cerrito 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Wanderers 3 1 1 1 3:8 4
4 CA Cerro 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Central Esp. 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
2 Juventud 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Racing Montevideo 3 1 0 2 4:8 3
4 Club Oriental De Futbol 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Nacional 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Albion 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 River Plate Montevideo 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
4 Progreso 3 0 0 3 1:5 0
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boston River 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Liverpool M. 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
3 Fenix 3 0 1 2 5:8 1
4 Colon 3 0 1 2 3:8 1
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)