Sport Picks
Portland Hearts of Pine vs Charlotte Independence - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL League One Fitzpatrick Stadium, Portland, ME 
AI Match Summary
Portland Hearts of Pine host Charlotte Independence in the USL League One. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Charlotte Independence have shipped 1.52 goals a game lately, while Portland Hearts of Pine have conceded 2.13 and scored 1.56. Head-to-head, Portland Hearts of Pine have won 1 to Charlotte Independence's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 2, 2026, ending 3:2. xG projections (1.50 - 2.25) back Charlotte Independence to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Charlotte Independence carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Charlotte Independence's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Portland Hearts of Pine | Charlotte Independence |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 31 |
| Wins | 8 | 22 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 16 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.56 | 2.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.13 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Portland Hearts of Pine found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (32 games).
Historical meetings average 4.33 goals per match.
Charlotte Independence's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.
Portland Hearts of Pine went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Portland Hearts of Pine
(Home)Charlotte Independence
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Independence | 31 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 73:42 | 66 |
| 2 | Union Omaha | 31 | 19 | 4 | 8 | 54:34 | 61 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 54:30 | 55 |
| 4 | Athletic Club Boise | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 49:41 | 55 |
| 5 | One Knoxville | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 52:36 | 54 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 47:40 | 53 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 31 | 14 | 4 | 13 | 50:44 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 47:40 | 45 |
| 9 | FC Naples | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 35:44 | 40 |
| 10 | Westchester SC | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 53:49 | 39 |
| 11 | Sarasota Paradise | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 45:46 | 39 |
| 12 | Corpus Christi FC | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34:49 | 36 |
| 13 | AV Alta FC | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 38:46 | 33 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 44:57 | 31 |
| 15 | Greenville Triumph | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 36:60 | 27 |
| 16 | Richmond Kickers | 31 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 37:64 | 26 |
| 17 | New York Cosmos | 30 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 36:62 | 25 |
