Sport Picks
Hercilio Luz vs Blumenau Prediction & H2H Stats
Brazil
Copa Santa Catarina 
AI Match Summary
The first leg ended 0-4. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Hercilio Luz have averaged 1.73 scored and 1.03 conceded recently, against Blumenau's 1.53 scored and 1 conceded. Past meetings favor Hercilio Luz slightly — 3-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 12, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.13, favoring Hercilio Luz. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Hercilio Luz lately — more wins on the board than Blumenau.
- Model gives Hercilio Luz a 69% chance of winning this.
- Hercilio Luz have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Blumenau, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Hercilio Luz have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hercilio Luz | Blumenau |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.73 | 1.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hercilio Luz scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: Blumenau conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Solid form: Hercilio Luz remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Hercilio Luz
(Home)Blumenau
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcilio Dias | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15:9 | 10 |
| 2 | Figueirense | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 10 |
| 3 | Hercilio Luz | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:8 | 9 |
| 4 | Joinville | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | 9 |
| 5 | Santa Catarina | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 6 | CA Metropolitano | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | 3 |
| 7 | Barra FC (Santa Catarina) | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7:8 | 3 |
| 8 | Blumenau | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:6 | 2 |
| 9 | Nacao | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | 2 |
