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Arconatese vs AC Leon Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Bonseri M.
26' Event
Bonseri M.
39' Event
Bonora A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Arconatese
35%
Draws
49%
AC Leon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AC Leon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • AC Leon have won more games recently than Arconatese.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on AC Leon taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Arconatese Clean Sheet 17%
AC Leon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arconatese AC Leon
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 5 13
Draws 10 9
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.89 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2026 Club Friendly
Arconatese vs AC Leon
2:2
Feb 20, 2022 Serie D - Group B
AC Leon vs Arconatese
2:4
Oct 16, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Arconatese vs AC Leon
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arconatese Compare

Top Goalscorer Bonora A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fabrizio R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

AC Leon Compare

Top Goalscorer Bonseri M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arconatese 20 / 100
AC Leon 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arconatese AC Leon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AC Leon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

AC Leon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Arconatese scored in 54% of their last 28 games.

Arconatese has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Arconatese VS AC Leon
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Arconatese

(Home)
27 Sept
Pavia
1 : 1
Arconatese
20 Sept
Arconatese
0 : 3
Pro Patria
16 Sept
Pistoiese
5 : 0
Arconatese
12 Sept
Arconatese
1 : 1
Correggese
06 Sept
USD Casatese
2 : 1
Arconatese
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AC Leon

(Away)
27 Sept
AC Leon
1 : 2
Villa Valle
20 Sept
Rovato Vertovese
2 : 2
AC Leon
16 Sept
AC Leon
1 : 1
Piacenza
12 Sept
Caldiero Terme
1 : 1
AC Leon
06 Sept
AC Leon
2 : 0
Brusaporto
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