Sport Picks
Match Events
26'
26'
Siano M.
65'
65'
Ferrandino D.
74'
74'
Silvestro M.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-0, with Arconatese advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
20%
0%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Arconatese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Arconatese come out ahead of Caronnese on wins alone.
- Model gives Arconatese a 80% chance of winning this.
- Arconatese have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Arconatese, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Arconatese here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Arconatese Clean Sheet 20%
Caronnese Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arconatese | Caronnese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 2 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 0.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 1, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Caronnese vs Arconatese
1:1
Nov 20, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Arconatese vs Caronnese
2:0
Nov 2, 2022 Coppa Italia Serie D
Arconatese vs Caronnese
3:0
May 9, 2021 Serie D - Group A
Caronnese vs Arconatese
0:1
Jan 10, 2021 Serie D - Group A
Arconatese vs Caronnese
5:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Arconatese Compare
Top Goalscorer Siano M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ferrandino D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55
Caronnese Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arconatese 58 / 100
Caronnese 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arconatese Caronnese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Arconatese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Caronnese conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.
Caronnese's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
Arconatese's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 34 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Arconatese VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Arconatese
(Home) 12 Sept
Arconatese
1 : 1 Correggese
06 Sept
USD Casatese
2 : 1 Arconatese
13 Aug
Arconatese
2 : 2 AC Leon
04 May
Breno
4 : 1 Arconatese
27 Apr
Arconatese
2 : 1 Chievo
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Arconatese
1 : 1 Correggese
13 Aug
Arconatese
2 : 2 AC Leon
27 Apr
Arconatese
2 : 1 Chievo
13 Apr
Arconatese
4 : 2 Fanfulla
23 Mar
Arconatese
0 : 1 Sondrio
Page 1 of 4
Caronnese
(Away) 07 May
Caronnese
1 : 3 Folgore Caratese
30 Apr
Lumezzane
2 : 0 Caronnese
23 Apr
Caronnese
1 : 2 Ponte San Pietro
16 Apr
Caronnese
1 : 2 Varese FC
06 Apr
Sona
2 : 0 Caronnese
Page 1 of 6
30 Apr
Lumezzane
2 : 0 Caronnese
06 Apr
Sona
2 : 0 Caronnese
19 Mar
Brusaporto
2 : 0 Caronnese
05 Mar
Villa Valle
2 : 2 Caronnese
19 Feb
Desenzano Calvina
3 : 0 Caronnese
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Chisola 1
Bra 3
Ligorna 2
Sestri Levante 1
Casale 0
Derthona FbC 1
Crema 2
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Franciacorta 3
Breno 1
Varesina 0
Varese FC 1
Arconatese 3
Caronnese 0
Giana Erminio 2
Alcione Milano 1
Cjarlins Muzane 1
Dolomiti Bellunesi 2
Clodiense 2
Legnago Salus 1
Caldiero Terme 1
Montebelluna 2
Este 1
Adriese 3
Carpi 1
United Riccione 2
G.S. Bagnolese 3
Correggese 2
Seravezza Pozzi 3
Pistoiese 0
Prato 1
Poggibonsi 0
Lupa Frascati 1
Arezzo 2
Sporting Trestina 0
Orvietana 2
Porto D'Ascoli 1
Pineto 2
US Tolentino 2
Fano 1
Arzachena 0
Sarrabus Ogliastra 1
Roma City 0
Tivoli Calcio 3
Trastevere Calcio 2
Flaminia 1
Puteolana Internapoli 1
Molfetta Calcio 0
Cavese 2
Vastogirardi 1
Citta di Fasano 0
Altamura 1
Casertana 3
Real Normanna 2
Francavilla 1
Lavello 0
Nocerina 3
Portici 1906 4
Lamezia Terme 3
Cittanovese 0
AS Acireale 2
Paterno 0
S. Agata 1
Trapani 2
1/16-finals
Bra 2
Ligorna 0
Derthona FbC 1
Crema 2
Franciacorta 0
Varese FC 1
Arconatese 1
Giana Erminio 3
Dolomiti Bellunesi 0
Clodiense 1
Montebelluna 1
Adriese 2
United Riccione 3
G.S. Bagnolese 1
Seravezza Pozzi 2
Prato 3
Arezzo 2
Orvietana 1
Pineto 5
US Tolentino 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra 1
Tivoli Calcio 0
Trastevere Calcio 0
Puteolana Internapoli 1
Cavese 2
Altamura 0
Casertana 0
Francavilla 2
Portici 1906 1
Lamezia Terme 2
AS Acireale 0
Trapani 7
1/8-finals
Bra 1
Crema 3
Varese FC 0
Giana Erminio 2
Clodiense 0
Adriese 6
United Riccione 1
Prato 0
Arezzo 1
Pineto 2
Sarrabus Ogliastra 1
Puteolana Internapoli 2
Cavese 1
Francavilla 0
Lamezia Terme 2
Trapani 1
Quarter-finals
Crema 1
Giana Erminio 2
Adriese 3
United Riccione 1
Pineto 4
Puteolana Internapoli 1
Cavese 1
Lamezia Terme 2
Semi-finals
Giana Erminio 1
Adriese 0
Pineto 1
Lamezia Terme 0
Final
Giana Erminio 2
Pineto 4
