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Arconatese vs Correggese Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group D
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Martina P.
69' Event
Mancosu A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group D matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Arconatese
30%
Draws
54%
Correggese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Correggese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Correggese have won more games recently than Arconatese.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Correggese taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Arconatese Clean Sheet 14%
Correggese Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arconatese Correggese
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 6 8
Draws 11 8
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 0.97 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.65 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Arconatese vs Correggese
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arconatese Compare

Top Goalscorer Mancosu A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Correggese Compare

Top Goalscorer Martina P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arconatese 27 / 100
Correggese 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arconatese Correggese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Correggese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Correggese has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Arconatese scored in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Arconatese has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Arconatese VS Correggese
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Arconatese

(Home)
27 Sept
Pavia
1 : 1
Arconatese
20 Sept
Arconatese
0 : 3
Pro Patria
16 Sept
Pistoiese
5 : 0
Arconatese
12 Sept
Arconatese
1 : 1
Correggese
06 Sept
USD Casatese
2 : 1
Arconatese
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Correggese

(Away)
27 Sept
Cittadella Vis Modena
0 : 1
Correggese
20 Sept
Correggese
1 : 3
USD Casatese
16 Sept
Correggese
2 : 1
Varesina
12 Sept
Arconatese
1 : 1
Correggese
06 Sept
Correggese
0 : 3
Sant'Angelo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pistoiese 5 5 0 0 14:1 15
2 Pro Sesto 5 4 0 1 16:4 12
3 Pro Patria 5 4 0 1 10:4 12
4 USD Casatese 5 3 1 1 10:6 10
5 Lentigione 5 3 1 1 7:5 10
6 Castellanzese 5 3 0 2 11:4 9
7 Sant'Angelo 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
8 Pavia 5 1 4 0 4:1 7
9 Cittadella Vis Modena 5 2 1 2 4:4 7
10 Correggese 5 2 1 2 5:8 7
11 Varese FC 5 1 3 1 5:4 6
12 Solbiatese 5 1 2 2 2:6 5
13 Tropical Coriano 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
14 Varesina 5 1 1 3 7:10 4
15 Oltrepo 5 1 0 4 3:12 3
16 Arconatese 5 0 2 3 3:12 2
17 Crema 5 0 1 4 1:12 1
18 US Pontedera 4 0 0 4 3:12 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group D (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D (Play Out)