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Arconatese vs Fanfulla

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Vavassori G.
41' Event
Mandelli M.
52' Event
Cavagna J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Arconatese in this Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arconatese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Arconatese
35%
Draws
32%
Fanfulla
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Fanfulla haven't matched Arconatese's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Arconatese Clean Sheet 16%
Fanfulla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arconatese Fanfulla
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 5
Draws 10 11
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 0.97 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Arconatese vs Fanfulla
4:2
Dec 1, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Fanfulla vs Arconatese
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arconatese Compare

Top Goalscorer Vavassori G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Coulibaly B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Fanfulla Compare

Top Goalscorer Mandelli M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Odalo G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arconatese 31 / 100
Fanfulla 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arconatese Fanfulla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Fanfulla's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Fanfulla's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Arconatese scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Arconatese VS Fanfulla
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arconatese

(Home)
16 Sept
Pistoiese
5 : 0
Arconatese
12 Sept
Arconatese
1 : 1
Correggese
06 Sept
USD Casatese
2 : 1
Arconatese
13 Aug
Arconatese
2 : 2
AC Leon
04 May
Breno
4 : 1
Arconatese
Page 1 of 6

Fanfulla

(Away)
04 May
Club Milano
3 : 2
Fanfulla
27 Apr
Fanfulla
1 : 1
Sangiuliano City
17 Apr
Fanfulla
0 : 0
Pro Palazzolo
13 Apr
Arconatese
4 : 2
Fanfulla
06 Apr
Fanfulla
0 : 1
Ospitaletto
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ospitaletto 38 21 12 5 66:34 75
2 Pro Palazzolo 38 20 10 8 69:36 70
3 Desenzano Calvina 38 19 12 7 51:29 69
4 USD Casatese 38 19 11 8 58:34 68
5 Folgore Caratese 38 20 8 10 66:42 68
6 Varesina 38 17 13 8 61:44 64
7 Chievo 38 16 9 13 49:37 57
8 Pro Sesto 38 13 13 12 45:43 52
9 Club Milano 38 14 7 17 44:50 49
10 Sant'Angelo 38 11 15 12 41:41 48
11 Sondrio 38 12 11 15 39:51 47
12 Breno 38 11 14 13 42:53 47
13 Castellanzese 38 10 16 12 43:53 46
14 Vigasio 38 11 12 15 39:41 45
15 Sangiuliano City 38 11 12 15 39:46 45
16 Crema 38 11 11 16 48:57 44
17 Magenta 38 8 12 18 33:53 36
18 Fanfulla 38 6 14 18 28:57 32
19 Ciliverghe Mazzano 38 7 10 21 41:70 31
20 Arconatese 38 7 10 21 33:64 31
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 (Play Offs)