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Arconatese vs Sant'Angelo

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Arlotti S.
90'
Santulli L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 game between Arconatese and Sant'Angelo finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sant'Angelo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Arconatese
35%
Draws
45%
Sant'Angelo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sant'Angelo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Sant'Angelo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Arconatese Clean Sheet 19%
Sant'Angelo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arconatese Sant'Angelo
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 9
Draws 8 9
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 0.93 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 5, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Arconatese vs Sant'Angelo
0:1
Sep 8, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Sant'Angelo vs Arconatese
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arconatese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sant'Angelo Compare

Top Goalscorer Arlotti S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arconatese 32 / 100
Sant'Angelo 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arconatese Sant'Angelo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sant'Angelo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sant'Angelo conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Arconatese's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Arconatese went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arconatese VS Sant'Angelo
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Arconatese

(Home)
06 Sept
USD Casatese
2 : 1
Arconatese
13 Aug
Arconatese
2 : 2
AC Leon
04 May
Breno
4 : 1
Arconatese
27 Apr
Arconatese
2 : 1
Chievo
17 Apr
Sangiuliano City
3 : 0
Arconatese
Page 1 of 6

Sant'Angelo

(Away)
06 Sept
Correggese
1 : 1
Sant'Angelo
23 Aug
Rovato Vertovese
1 : 2
Sant'Angelo
03 May
Lentigione
2 : 2
Sant'Angelo
26 Apr
Sant'Angelo
1 : 1
SCD Progresso
19 Apr
Tuttocuoio
0 : 1
Sant'Angelo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ospitaletto 38 21 12 5 66:34 75
2 Pro Palazzolo 38 20 10 8 69:36 70
3 Desenzano Calvina 38 19 12 7 51:29 69
4 USD Casatese 38 19 11 8 58:34 68
5 Folgore Caratese 38 20 8 10 66:42 68
6 Varesina 38 17 13 8 61:44 64
7 Chievo 38 16 9 13 49:37 57
8 Pro Sesto 38 13 13 12 45:43 52
9 Club Milano 38 14 7 17 44:50 49
10 Sant'Angelo 38 11 15 12 41:41 48
11 Sondrio 38 12 11 15 39:51 47
12 Breno 38 11 14 13 42:53 47
13 Castellanzese 38 10 16 12 43:53 46
14 Vigasio 38 11 12 15 39:41 45
15 Sangiuliano City 38 11 12 15 39:46 45
16 Crema 38 11 11 16 48:57 44
17 Magenta 38 8 12 18 33:53 36
18 Fanfulla 38 6 14 18 28:57 32
19 Ciliverghe Mazzano 38 7 10 21 41:70 31
20 Arconatese 38 7 10 21 33:64 31
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 (Play Offs)