Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 game between Arconatese and USD Casatese finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: USD Casatese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- USD Casatese carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Regular Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Arconatese Clean Sheet 20%
USD Casatese Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arconatese | USD Casatese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 35 |
| Wins | 6 | 19 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 14 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 0.89 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 Serie D - Group D
USD Casatese vs Arconatese
2:1
Mar 2, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Arconatese vs USD Casatese
0:0
Oct 27, 2024 Serie D - Group B
USD Casatese vs Arconatese
1:1
Mar 24, 2024 Serie D - Group B
USD Casatese vs Arconatese
1:1
Nov 12, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Arconatese vs USD Casatese
3:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arconatese 32 / 100
USD Casatese 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arconatese USD Casatese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Arconatese's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
USD Casatese has conceded goals in 57% of their last 35 outings.
Solid form: Arconatese remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Arconatese VS USD Casatese
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Arconatese
(Home) 06 Sept
USD Casatese
2 : 1 Arconatese
13 Aug
Arconatese
2 : 2 AC Leon
04 May
Breno
4 : 1 Arconatese
27 Apr
Arconatese
2 : 1 Chievo
17 Apr
Sangiuliano City
3 : 0 Arconatese
Page 1 of 6
13 Aug
Arconatese
2 : 2 AC Leon
27 Apr
Arconatese
2 : 1 Chievo
13 Apr
Arconatese
4 : 2 Fanfulla
23 Mar
Arconatese
0 : 1 Sondrio
02 Mar
Arconatese
0 : 0 USD Casatese
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USD Casatese
(Away) 06 Sept
USD Casatese
2 : 1 Arconatese
23 Aug
Piacenza
2 : 1 USD Casatese
17 May
USD Casatese
2 : 3 Chievo
10 May
USD Casatese
4 : 0 AC Leon
03 May
USD Casatese
1 : 0 AC Leon
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23 Aug
Piacenza
2 : 1 USD Casatese
26 Apr
Scanzorosciate
0 : 3 USD Casatese
11 Apr
Vogherese
0 : 4 USD Casatese
29 Mar
Villa Valle
0 : 1 USD Casatese
15 Mar
Sondrio
2 : 1 USD Casatese
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ospitaletto | 38 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 66:34 | 75 |
| 2 | Pro Palazzolo | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 69:36 | 70 |
| 3 | Desenzano Calvina | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 51:29 | 69 |
| 4 | USD Casatese | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 58:34 | 68 |
| 5 | Folgore Caratese | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 66:42 | 68 |
| 6 | Varesina | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 61:44 | 64 |
| 7 | Chievo | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 49:37 | 57 |
| 8 | Pro Sesto | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 45:43 | 52 |
| 9 | Club Milano | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 44:50 | 49 |
| 10 | Sant'Angelo | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 41:41 | 48 |
| 11 | Sondrio | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 39:51 | 47 |
| 12 | Breno | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 42:53 | 47 |
| 13 | Castellanzese | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 43:53 | 46 |
| 14 | Vigasio | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39:41 | 45 |
| 15 | Sangiuliano City | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39:46 | 45 |
| 16 | Crema | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:57 | 44 |
| 17 | Magenta | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 33:53 | 36 |
| 18 | Fanfulla | 38 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 28:57 | 32 |
| 19 | Ciliverghe Mazzano | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 41:70 | 31 |
| 20 | Arconatese | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 33:64 | 31 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
