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Arconatese vs Vigasio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 game between Arconatese and Vigasio finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Arconatese
15%
Draws
36%
Vigasio
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arconatese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vigasio come out ahead of Arconatese on wins alone.
  • Model gives Arconatese a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Arconatese Clean Sheet 20%
Vigasio Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arconatese Vigasio
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 6 8
Draws 9 12
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Arconatese vs Vigasio
0:0
Oct 20, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Vigasio vs Arconatese
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arconatese 42 / 100
Vigasio 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arconatese Vigasio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vigasio let in goals in 70% of their last 33 matches.

Vigasio lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Arconatese scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 0.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Arconatese VS Vigasio
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Arconatese

(Home)
06 Sept
USD Casatese
2 : 1
Arconatese
13 Aug
Arconatese
2 : 2
AC Leon
04 May
Breno
4 : 1
Arconatese
27 Apr
Arconatese
2 : 1
Chievo
17 Apr
Sangiuliano City
3 : 0
Arconatese
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Vigasio

(Away)
17 May
Vigasio
2 : 3
FC Obermais
03 May
Vigasio
1 : 4
Legnago Salus
26 Apr
Luparense FC
1 : 0
Vigasio
19 Apr
Vigasio
1 : 3
Brian Lignano
12 Apr
Clodiense
0 : 1
Vigasio
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ospitaletto 38 21 12 5 66:34 75
2 Pro Palazzolo 38 20 10 8 69:36 70
3 Desenzano Calvina 38 19 12 7 51:29 69
4 USD Casatese 38 19 11 8 58:34 68
5 Folgore Caratese 38 20 8 10 66:42 68
6 Varesina 38 17 13 8 61:44 64
7 Chievo 38 16 9 13 49:37 57
8 Pro Sesto 38 13 13 12 45:43 52
9 Club Milano 38 14 7 17 44:50 49
10 Sant'Angelo 38 11 15 12 41:41 48
11 Sondrio 38 12 11 15 39:51 47
12 Breno 38 11 14 13 42:53 47
13 Castellanzese 38 10 16 12 43:53 46
14 Vigasio 38 11 12 15 39:41 45
15 Sangiuliano City 38 11 12 15 39:46 45
16 Crema 38 11 11 16 48:57 44
17 Magenta 38 8 12 18 33:53 36
18 Fanfulla 38 6 14 18 28:57 32
19 Ciliverghe Mazzano 38 7 10 21 41:70 31
20 Arconatese 38 7 10 21 33:64 31
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 (Play Offs)