Sport Picks
Arda vs Botev Vratsa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bulgaria
efbet League Arena Arda, Kardzhali 
Match Events
57'
57'
Goranov I.
58'
58'
Sub
Petkov M. In: Genov D.
Out: Petkov M.
59'
59'
Smolenski M.
AI Match Summary
Arda in this efbet League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arda.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Arda lately — more wins on the board than Botev Vratsa.
- Model gives Botev Vratsa a 40% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Arda Clean Sheet 16%
Botev Vratsa Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arda | Botev Vratsa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 31, 2026 efbet League
Arda vs Botev Vratsa
2:0
Jul 10, 2026 Club Friendly
Botev Vratsa vs Arda
1:0
Mar 7, 2026 efbet League
Botev Vratsa vs Arda
1:0
Feb 11, 2026 Bulgarian Cup
Botev Vratsa vs Arda
2:3
Sep 28, 2025 efbet League
Arda vs Botev Vratsa
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Arda Compare
Top Goalscorer Yankov D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Botev Vratsa Compare
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arda 23 / 100
Botev Vratsa 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arda Botev Vratsa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Botev Vratsa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Arda scored in 66% of their last 29 games.
Botev Vratsa let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Difficult form: Botev Vratsa registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Arda VS Botev Vratsa
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Arda
(Home) 18 Oct
Spartak Plovdiv
1 : 2 Arda
12 Oct
Ludogorets
5 : 0 Arda
02 Oct
Lok. Plovdiv
2 : 0 Arda
19 Sept
Arda
1 : 1 Cherno More
12 Sept
CSKA Sofia
4 : 1 Arda
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Arda
1 : 1 Cherno More
04 Sept
Arda
2 : 3 Botev Plovdiv
31 Aug
Arda
2 : 0 Botev Vratsa
17 Aug
Arda
3 : 1 Lok. Sofia
24 Jul
Arda
1 : 0 Slavia Sofia
Page 1 of 3
Botev Vratsa
(Away) 18 Oct
Fratria
1 : 2 Botev Vratsa
14 Oct
Botev Plovdiv
2 : 0 Botev Vratsa
10 Oct
Botev Vratsa
0 : 1 Spartak Varna
03 Oct
Slavia Sofia
2 : 1 Botev Vratsa
19 Sept
Dunav Ruse
2 : 2 Botev Vratsa
Page 1 of 6
18 Oct
Fratria
1 : 2 Botev Vratsa
14 Oct
Botev Plovdiv
2 : 0 Botev Vratsa
03 Oct
Slavia Sofia
2 : 1 Botev Vratsa
19 Sept
Dunav Ruse
2 : 2 Botev Vratsa
04 Sept
Septemvri Sofia
2 : 3 Botev Vratsa
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 23:4 | 28 |
| 2 | CSKA Sofia | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 27:9 | 27 |
| 3 | Ludogorets | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 21:7 | 26 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 21:13 | 22 |
| 5 | Botev Plovdiv | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:14 | 19 |
| 6 | Arda | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15:17 | 17 |
| 7 | Spartak Varna | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11:15 | 13 |
| 8 | Slavia Sofia | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 9 | Botev Vratsa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9:20 | 9 |
| 10 | Dunav Ruse | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 13:21 | 8 |
| 11 | Lok. Plovdiv | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6:14 | 8 |
| 12 | Lok. Sofia | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12:19 | 8 |
| 13 | Septemvri Sofia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10:21 | 8 |
| 14 | Cherno More | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11:22 | 6 |
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League (Relegation Group)
