Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Third League - South-East 2011/2012 game between Arda and Brestnik finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brestnik.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Arda come out ahead of Brestnik on wins alone.
- 57% — that's where the model lands on Arda taking it.
- Regular Third League - South-East 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Brestnik have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arda | Brestnik |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 2 |
| Losses | 10 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 2.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Arda scored in 60% of their last 30 games.
Brestnik has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Arda has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Arda
(Home)Brestnik
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rakovski 2011 | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 91:30 | 75 |
| 2 | Yambol 1915 | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 71:24 | 75 |
| 3 | Botev Galabovo | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 57:23 | 66 |
| 4 | Svilengrad 1921 | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 68:29 | 65 |
| 5 | Asenovets | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 59:54 | 63 |
| 6 | PFC Burgas | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 45:34 | 59 |
| 7 | Dimitrovgrad | 34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 64:47 | 58 |
| 8 | Sozopol | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 54:31 | 56 |
| 9 | Brestnik | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 60:45 | 50 |
| 10 | Zagorets | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 42:40 | 46 |
| 11 | Arda | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 42:49 | 44 |
| 12 | Spartak Plovdiv | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 51:57 | 37 |
| 13 | Gigant Saedinenie | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 45:64 | 36 |
| 14 | Levski Karlovo | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 32:64 | 34 |
| 15 | Rozova Dolina | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 38:60 | 32 |
| 16 | Hebros | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 43:58 | 30 |
| 17 | Sportist Roza | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 21:98 | 18 |
| 18 | Chirpan | 34 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 13:89 | 15 |
