Sport Picks
Arda vs Lok. Sofia
Bulgaria
efbet League Arena Arda, Kardzhali 
AI Match Summary
Arda host Lok. Sofia in the efbet League. This one's hard to separate. Lok. Sofia have shipped 1.63 goals a game lately, while Arda have conceded 1.03 and scored 1.17. Past meetings favor Arda slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 28, 2025, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 1.00, favoring Arda. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 1-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Arda have won more games recently than Lok. Sofia.
- Win probability leans Arda's way, sitting at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arda | Lok. Sofia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 13 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lok. Sofia let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.
Attacking prowess: Arda scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Arda went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Arda
(Home)Lok. Sofia
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:2 | 12 |
| 2 | Ludogorets | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 12 |
| 3 | CSKA Sofia | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 10 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:5 | 10 |
| 5 | Botev Plovdiv | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 6 | Arda | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 7 | Spartak Varna | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 7 |
| 8 | Slavia Sofia | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:2 | 5 |
| 9 | Lok. Plovdiv | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 3 |
| 10 | Lok. Sofia | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | 2 |
| 11 | Cherno More | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:8 | 1 |
| 12 | Botev Vratsa | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:8 | 1 |
| 13 | Septemvri Sofia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:9 | 1 |
| 14 | Dunav Ruse | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:8 | 0 |
