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Arda vs Vereya 2

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2016/2017 Arena Arda, Kardzhali
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AI Match Summary

Arda in this Third League - South-East 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Arda
20%
Draws
10%
Vereya 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Arda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Arda lately — more wins on the board than Vereya 2.
  • Win probability leans Arda's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - South-East 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Arda have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Arda Clean Sheet 20%
Vereya 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arda Vereya 2
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 9
Draws 6 2
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.75 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.03 2.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2018 Third League - South-East
Arda vs Vereya 2
8:0
Oct 21, 2017 Third League - South-East
Vereya 2 vs Arda
0:11
Apr 1, 2017 Third League - South-East
Arda vs Vereya 2
3:1
Sep 11, 2016 Third League - South-East
Vereya 2 vs Arda
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arda 85 / 100
Vereya 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arda Vereya 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vereya 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Arda scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Arda went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arda VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Arda

(Home)
19 Sept
Arda
1 : 1
Cherno More
12 Sept
CSKA Sofia
4 : 1
Arda
04 Sept
Arda
2 : 3
Botev Plovdiv
31 Aug
Arda
2 : 0
Botev Vratsa
24 Aug
Lok. Plovdiv
0 : 1
Arda
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Vereya 2

(Away)
02 Jun
Vereya 2
3 : 4
Sokol Markovo
26 May
Rakovski 2011
2 : 1
Vereya 2
19 May
Vereya 2
0 : 4
Zagorets
12 May
Karnobat
2 : 1
Vereya 2
09 May
Vereya 2
1 : 1
Radnevo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorets 34 26 6 2 77:13 84
2 Maritsa Plovdiv 34 26 0 8 95:25 78
3 Karnobat 34 23 4 7 79:35 73
4 Rozova Dolina 34 20 4 10 69:38 64
5 Atletik Kuklen 34 15 8 11 58:44 53
6 Borislav Parvomay 34 14 8 12 60:48 50
7 Evrokolezh 34 14 4 16 64:65 46
8 Uragan Boyadzhik 34 13 6 15 55:66 45
9 Asenovets 34 13 5 16 50:56 44
10 Dimitrovgrad 34 12 7 15 35:39 43
11 Vereya 2 34 12 5 17 66:76 41
12 Svilengrad 1921 34 11 8 15 41:52 41
13 Gigant Saedinenie 34 12 5 17 51:71 41
14 Rakovski 2011 34 11 7 16 52:81 40
15 Radnevo 34 11 6 17 39:58 39
16 Arda 34 11 6 17 49:69 39
17 Lyubimets 2007 34 9 6 19 38:79 33
18 Elhovo 34 4 3 27 27:90 15
Promotion - Vtora liga 2017/2018 (Main)