Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ardagger vs St. Peter in der Au

Austria Austria

Niederosterreich 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ardagger play St. Peter in der Au in the Niederosterreich 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ardagger averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. St. Peter in der Au averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. In past meetings, Ardagger won 1, St. Peter in der Au won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 28, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Ardagger and 1.13 for St. Peter in der Au. This points to a Ardagger double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Ardagger
35%
Draws
32%
St. Peter in der Au
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ardagger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Ardagger picked up more points recently compared to St. Peter in der Au.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66%
Ardagger Clean Sheet 21%
St. Peter in der Au Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ardagger St. Peter in der Au
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 12 11
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.4 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Niederosterreich
Ardagger vs St. Peter in der Au
2:0
Aug 31, 2025 Niederosterreich
St. Peter in der Au vs Ardagger
2:1
Apr 7, 2025 Niederosterreich
Ardagger vs St. Peter in der Au
1:1
Sep 1, 2024 Niederosterreich
St. Peter in der Au vs Ardagger
2:1
Feb 6, 2024 Club Friendly
Ardagger vs St. Peter in der Au
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ardagger 34 / 100
St. Peter in der Au 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ardagger St. Peter in der Au

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ardagger or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ardagger attacking → ← attacking St. Peter in der Au

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ardagger scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

St. Peter in der Au let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Ardagger went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

St. Peter in der Au lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 41
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00