Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ardagger vs St. Polten (Am)

Austria Austria

Niederosterreich 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Niederosterreich 2025/2026 game between Ardagger and St. Polten (Am) finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Ardagger
20%
Draws
0%
St. Polten (Am)
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ardagger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Ardagger have managed 1.55 goals a game lately — St. Polten (Am) are scoring more at 1.59.
  • Model gives Ardagger a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Ardagger Clean Sheet 14%
St. Polten (Am) Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ardagger St. Polten (Am)
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 12 8
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.55 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Niederosterreich
Ardagger vs St. Polten (Am)
2:2
Oct 18, 2025 Niederosterreich
St. Polten (Am) vs Ardagger
0:1
Mar 8, 2025 Niederosterreich
St. Polten (Am) vs Ardagger
0:0
Aug 14, 2024 Niederosterreich
Ardagger vs St. Polten (Am)
0:0
May 6, 2023 Niederosterreich
St. Polten (Am) vs Ardagger
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ardagger 84 / 100
St. Polten (Am) 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ardagger St. Polten (Am)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ardagger Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Polten (Am)'s recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Ardagger's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: St. Polten (Am) conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Ardagger has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ardagger VS St. Polten (Am)
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ardagger

(Home)
18 Sept
Ardagger
5 : 0
Wieselburg
11 Sept
Zwettl
0 : 0
Ardagger
04 Sept
Ardagger
2 : 2
SCU Kilb
30 Aug
St. Peter in der Au
2 : 4
Ardagger
21 Aug
Ardagger
1 : 3
Retz
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St. Polten (Am)

(Away)
18 Sept
St. Peter in der Au
1 : 0
St. Polten (Am)
12 Sept
Retz
3 : 1
St. Polten (Am)
05 Sept
St. Polten (Am)
0 : 2
Wiener Neustadt
28 Aug
Admira (Am)
3 : 2
St. Polten (Am)
22 Aug
St. Polten (Am)
0 : 1
Korneuburg
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