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Ardal vs Saga

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 8 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 8 2012 game between Ardal and Saga finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ardal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Ardal
15%
Draws
8%
Saga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ardal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Saga carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 77% — that's where the model lands on Ardal taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Ardal Clean Sheet 10%
Saga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ardal Saga
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 2 1
Losses 22 18
Goals Scored 2.13 1.72
Goals Conceded 3.38 2.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2012 Division 3 - Group 8
Saga vs Ardal
2:2
Jun 9, 2012 Division 3 - Group 8
Ardal vs Saga
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ardal 83 / 100
Saga 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ardal Saga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ardal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Ardal's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Saga has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Ardal has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ardal VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
3.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ardal

(Home)
27 Oct
Ardal
0 : 4
Sandviken
20 Oct
Askoy
3 : 0
Ardal
05 Oct
Ardal
11 : 2
Asane 2
28 Sept
Djerv 1919
3 : 4
Ardal
21 Sept
Ardal
6 : 1
Floro
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Saga

(Away)
20 Oct
Oystese
5 : 3
Saga
13 Oct
Saga
1 : 3
Floro
06 Oct
Stryn
1 : 0
Saga
29 Sept
Saga
2 : 2
Ardal
22 Sept
Sotra
2 : 1
Saga
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