Sport Picks

Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2017/2018

Ards

4 - 1

Crumlin Star

Our Tip

Match Events

Ruddy M.

16'

Doyle J.

21'

McAllister D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-1, with Ards advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%

Ards

15%

Draws

51%

Crumlin Star

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Crumlin Star

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence

Crumlin Star carry the better recent record into this one.
Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
Crumlin Star arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Ards, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

Ards Clean Sheet 20%

Crumlin Star Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ards	Crumlin Star
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	13	21
Draws	6	0
Losses	11	9
Goals Scored	1.67	2.43
Goals Conceded	1.27	1.2
Expected Goals (xG)	1.42	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 6, 2018 Irish Cup

Ards vs Crumlin Star

4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ards Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruddy M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader McAllister D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.09

Avg xA / game 0.71

Crumlin Star Compare

Top Goalscorer Doyle J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ards 32 / 100

Crumlin Star 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ards Crumlin Star

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Ards's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Crumlin Star's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Crumlin Star lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ards VS -

1.63 Goals Scored 0

0.75 Goals Conceded 0

75% Over 1.5 0%

38% Over 2.5 0%

13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ards

(Home)

04 Sept

Annagh

2 : 1

Ards

28 Aug

Ards

0 : 3

Queens University

22 Aug

Ards

1 : 2

Loughgall

15 Aug

Warrenpoint

1 : 3

Ards

11 Aug

Ards

2 : 2

Dundela

Page 1 of 6

Crumlin Star

(Away)

06 Jan

Institute

2 : 0

Crumlin Star

25 Dec

Crumlin Star

2 : 3

Comber Rec

25 Nov

Crumlin Star

2 : 0

Limavady

04 Jan

Ballymena

2 : 0

Crumlin Star

30 Nov

Coagh Utd

0 : 1

Crumlin Star

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/256-finals

Coleraine -

TBD -

Foundry -

TBD -

St. Marys 1

Bryansburn 3

Cookstown Youth -

TBD -

Bloomfield 1

Craigavon City 3

Newtowne FC 3

Bangor Amateurs FC 0

TBD -

Desertmartin -

Newington FC -

TBD -

Lisburn Distillery -

Knockbreda -

TBD -

Institute -

Ballyclare -

TBD -

Portadown -

Lurgan Celtic -

TBD -

Glentoran -

Ballymena -

TBD -

Ballywalter Recreation -

TBD -

Seapatrick 1

Ballynure Old Boys 4

Islandmagee 4

Fivemiletown 1

Iveagh Utd 0

Ards Rangers 9

Laurelvale 6

Broomhedge 1

Bangor Old Boys 2

Tullyvallen Rangers 3

Downshire Y.M. 3

Malachians 2

TBD -

Moyola -

Immaculata 3

Abbey Villa 0

Seagoe 1

Larne Technical Old Boys 12

Rosario Youth -

Ballynahinch United -

TBD -

Brantwood -

Valley Rangers 5

Oxford Sunnyside 0

Magherafelt -

Colin Valley -

Donegal -

TBD -

Silverwood 2

Crumlin United 3

TBD -

Ballinamallard -

Dundela -

TBD -

Richhill 2

Ardstraw 10

Windmill 2

St. James' Swifts 1

TBD -

Sport & Leisure -

Rathfriland Rangers 8

Barn 3

Dunmurry Y.M. 0

Orangefield Old Boys' 3

Strabane Athletic -

TBD -

Newcastle -

Killyleagh Youth 5

Newbuildings 1

Moneyslane FC 1

Sirocco 4

Dunmurry Rec 4

Dromore Amateurs 0

TBD -

Tobermore -

Banbridge -

TBD -

Cookstown RBL 1

Dromara 2

Dungiven 3

Suffolk 2

TBD -

Queens University -

Dergview -

TBD -

Larne -

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Maiden City 3

Dollingstown 1

Groomsport 1

Lurgan Town Boys 3

Lisburn Rangers 5

Rathfern Rangers 4

Saintfield 2

Tandragee 4

Portaferry Rovers 3

Ballynahinch Olympic 1

TBD -

Mossley FC -

Dunloy 3

Banbridge Rangers 1

TBD -

Portstewart -

TBD -

Crusaders -

Newry City -

TBD -

Harland & Wolff -

Glebe 2

Bangor FC 0

St Luke's 1

Rosemount Rec 3

18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 3

Comber Rec 2

TBD -

U. U. Jordanstown -

St. Patricks Young 2

Lower Maze 1

TBD -

Wellington Rec -

Markethill 2

Grove 1

TBD -

Annagh -

TBD -

Linfield -

Glenavon -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Limavady -

TBD -

Dungannon -

Ards -

TBD -

Shankill 4

Ballymacash 3

Bourneview Mill 1

Derriaghy 3

Drumaness 3

Crewe 2

Chimney 2

Hanover 8

Armagh -

TBD -

Ballymoney 1

Coagh Utd 6

Oxford Stars 4

Trojans 3

Shorts 1

Crumlin Star 9

PSNI -

TBD -

Loughgall -

1/128-finals

Coleraine -

TBD -

Foundry 4

Bryansburn 3

Cookstown Youth 6

Craigavon City 7

Newtowne FC 4

Desertmartin 2

Newington FC 0

Lisburn Distillery 3

Knockbreda -

TBD -

Institute -

Ballyclare -

TBD -

Portadown -

Lurgan Celtic -

TBD -

Glentoran -

Ballymena -

TBD -

Ballywalter Recreation 6

Ballynure Old Boys 3

Islandmagee 1

Ards Rangers 2

Laurelvale 5

Tullyvallen Rangers 2

Downshire Y.M. 1

Moyola 10

Immaculata 2

Larne Technical Old Boys 1

Rosario Youth 4

Brantwood 0

Valley Rangers 4

Colin Valley 1

Donegal 0

Crumlin United 2

TBD -

Ballinamallard -

Dundela 6

Ardstraw 2

Windmill 0

Sport & Leisure 2

Rathfriland Rangers 4

Orangefield Old Boys' 1

Strabane Athletic 1

Newcastle 3

Killyleagh Youth 2

Sirocco 0

Dunmurry Rec 0

Tobermore 7

Banbridge 1

Dromara 0

Dungiven 2

Queens University 7

Dergview -

TBD -

Larne -

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Maiden City 7

Lurgan Town Boys 1

Lisburn Rangers 2

Tandragee 3

Portaferry Rovers 2

Mossley FC 0

Dunloy 1

Portstewart 2

TBD -

Crusaders -

Newry City -

TBD -

Harland & Wolff -

Glebe 3

Rosemount Rec 0

18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 1

U. U. Jordanstown 2

St. Patricks Young 3

Wellington Rec 2

Markethill 2

Annagh 4

TBD -

Linfield -

Glenavon -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Limavady -

TBD -

Dungannon -

Ards -

TBD -

Shankill 2

Derriaghy 1

Drumaness 0

Hanover 2

Armagh 2

Coagh Utd 0

Oxford Stars 0

Crumlin Star 5

PSNI -

TBD -

Loughgall -

1/64-finals

Coleraine -

TBD -

Foundry 4

Craigavon City 1

Newtowne FC 0

Lisburn Distillery 2

Knockbreda -

TBD -

Institute -

Ballyclare -

TBD -

Portadown -

Lurgan Celtic -

TBD -

Glentoran -

Ballymena -

TBD -

Ballywalter Recreation 3

Ards Rangers 2

Laurelvale 0

Moyola 5

Immaculata 3

Brantwood 1

Valley Rangers 0

Crumlin United 2

TBD -

Ballinamallard -

Dundela 2

Sport & Leisure 0

Rathfriland Rangers 0

Newcastle 3

Killyleagh Youth 3

Tobermore 1

Banbridge 1

Queens University 2

Dergview -

TBD -

Larne -

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Maiden City 2

Tandragee 1

Portaferry Rovers 1

Portstewart 2

TBD -

Crusaders -

Newry City -

TBD -

Harland & Wolff -

Glebe 11

U. U. Jordanstown 0

St. Patricks Young 2

Annagh 5

TBD -

Linfield -

Glenavon -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Limavady -

TBD -

Dungannon -

Ards -

TBD -

Shankill 3

Hanover 2

Armagh 1

Crumlin Star 2

PSNI -

TBD -

Loughgall -

1/32-finals

Coleraine -

TBD -

Foundry 1

Lisburn Distillery 3

Knockbreda -

TBD -

Institute -

Ballyclare -

TBD -

Portadown -

Lurgan Celtic -

TBD -

Glentoran -

Ballymena -

TBD -

Ballywalter Recreation 0

Moyola 2

Immaculata 4

Crumlin United 2

TBD -

Ballinamallard -

Dundela 5

Newcastle 0

Killyleagh Youth 1

Queens University 3

Dergview -

TBD -

Larne -

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Maiden City 2

Portstewart 1

TBD -

Crusaders -

Newry City -

TBD -

Harland & Wolff -

Glebe 2

Annagh 1

TBD -

Linfield -

Glenavon -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Limavady -

TBD -

Dungannon -

Ards -

TBD -

Shankill 0

Crumlin Star 4

PSNI -

TBD -

Loughgall -

1/16-finals

Coleraine 7

Lisburn Distillery 0

Knockbreda 0

Institute 2

Ballyclare 2

Portadown 1

Lurgan Celtic 1

Glentoran 2

Ballymena 4

Moyola 0

Immaculata 2

Ballinamallard 4

Dundela 1

Queens University 0

Dergview 0

Larne 3

Cliftonville 4

Warrenpoint 3

Maiden City 0

Crusaders 2

Newry City 2

Harland & Wolff 0

Glebe 0

Linfield 5

Glenavon 3

Carrick Rangers 1

Limavady 0

Dungannon 4

Ards 4

Crumlin Star 1

PSNI 1

Loughgall 4

1/8-finals

Coleraine 4

Institute 0

Ballyclare 0

Glentoran 4

Ballymena 3

Ballinamallard 2

Dundela 1

Larne 6

Cliftonville 4

Crusaders 1

Newry City 0

Linfield 1

Glenavon 3

Dungannon 0

Ards 1

Loughgall 2

Quarter-finals

Coleraine 1

Glentoran 0

Ballymena 1

Larne 2

Cliftonville 1

Linfield 0

Glenavon 1

Loughgall 2

Semi-finals

Coleraine 3

Larne 1

Cliftonville 4

Loughgall 1

Final

Coleraine 3

Cliftonville 1

Ards vs Crumlin Star

Northern Ireland

Ards

Crumlin Star

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Ards Compare

Crumlin Star Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Ards

Crumlin Star

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Install Sokapicks PWA