Sport Picks

Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2015/2016

Ardstraw

1 - 5

Newry City

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-5, with Newry City advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%

Ardstraw

30%

Draws

35%

Newry City

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and Newry City come out ahead of Ardstraw on wins alone.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
Newry City arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Newry City, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%

Ardstraw Clean Sheet 20%

Newry City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ardstraw	Newry City
Matches Played	14	30
Wins	7	11
Draws	0	7
Losses	7	12
Goals Scored	3.29	1.47
Goals Conceded	2.93	1.73
Expected Goals (xG)	1.54	1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2015 Irish Cup

Ardstraw vs Newry City

1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ardstraw 31 / 100

Newry City 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ardstraw Newry City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ardstraw Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ardstraw found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (14 games).

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Newry City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Ardstraw stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Newry City

0 Goals Scored 1.13

0 Goals Conceded 1.88

0% Over 1.5 75%

0% Over 2.5 75%

0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ardstraw

(Home)

02 Nov

Ardstraw

1 : 2

Islandmagee

28 Sept

Ardstraw

4 : 1

Wakehurst

17 Aug

Fivemiletown

2 : 3

Ardstraw

29 Sept

Tobermore

5 : 3

Ardstraw

18 Aug

Ardstraw

7 : 0

Dromore Amateurs

Page 1 of 3

Newry City

(Away)

25 Sept

Newry City

3 : 2

Harland & Wolff

18 Sept

Newry City

1 : 1

Annagh

11 Sept

Strabane Athletic

2 : 2

Newry City

04 Sept

Newry City

2 : 2

Armagh

29 Aug

Institute

1 : 3

Newry City

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/256-finals

Linfield -

TBD -

Ballymena -

Portstewart -

TBD -

Moyola -

Lisburn Rangers 3

Dromore Amateurs 0

Bloomfield 1

Desertmartin 4

Ballywalter Recreation 4

Iveagh Utd 2

Foundry 0

Tandragee 1

TBD -

Armagh -

Sport & Leisure -

TBD -

Dergview -

Newtowne FC 5

Dungiven 1

TBD -

Groomsport -

Newcastle 3

Ballynahinch Olympic 2

Colin Valley 1

Dromara 2

TBD -

Institute -

Immaculata 2

Bangor Old Boys 1

Laurelvale 1

Dunmurry Y.M. 8

Rathcoole 3

Ballymacash 2

Craigavon City 3

Lower Maze 4

TBD -

Dundela -

TBD -

Cliftonville -

Portadown -

TBD -

Glebe -

TBD -

Wakehurst -

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

Coleraine -

Knockbreda -

TBD -

Lisburn Distillery -

Dollingstown -

TBD -

Annagh -

Bangor FC -

TBD -

Coagh Utd -

Ardglass 2

Saintfield 1

Bryansburn 2

Killyleagh Youth 3

Malachians 1

Grove 0

Windmill 0

Comber Rec 3

TBD -

Lurgan Celtic -

Glenavon -

TBD -

Wellington Rec 1

Lurgan Town Boys 0

Oxford Sunnyside 2

Rosario Youth 7

Rathfern Rangers 4

Richhill 2

Ballynahinch United 2

Valley Rangers 4

TBD -

Harland & Wolff -

Ards -

TBD -

Donegal -

TBD -

Glentoran -

PSNI -

TBD -

Newington FC -

Queens University -

TBD -

Tobermore -

Larne -

TBD -

Limavady -

Trojans 2

Islandmagee 1

Orangefield Old Boys' 1

Derriaghy 4

Seapatrick 1

Killymoon 0

Portaferry Rovers 0

Banbridge Rangers 3

TBD -

Loughgall -

Carrick Rangers -

TBD -

Crumlin United 3

Nortel 2

TBD -

Seagoe -

Moneyslane FC 2

Barn 1

Chimney 3

Downshire Y.M. 4

TBD -

Banbridge -

Oxford Stars -

TBD -

Larne Technical Old Boys -

Shankill 4

Donard 2

Markethill 1

St. Patricks Young 2

St. Marys 3

Fivemiletown 2

TBD -

Downpatrick -

Strabane Athletic 11

Kilmore Rec 0

East Belfast 1

Ards Rangers 2

Ballyclare -

TBD -

Dundonald 3

Broomhill 2

Drumaness 1

Dunloy 4

Newry City 5

Ardstraw 1

Shorts 0

Crumlin Star 3

Dungannon -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Rathfriland Rangers -

TBD -

Newbuildings 2

Crewe 3

Brantwood 2

Magherafelt 1

Ballynure Old Boys 1

Sirocco 2

Dunmurry Rec -

TBD -

Ballymoney 1

Hanover 5

18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 3

Mossley FC 1

U. U. Jordanstown 1

Abbey Villa 4

TBD -

Crusaders -

1/128-finals

Linfield -

TBD -

Ballymena -

Portstewart -

TBD -

Moyola -

Lisburn Rangers 2

Desertmartin 1

Ballywalter Recreation 0

Tandragee 4

TBD -

Armagh -

Sport & Leisure -

TBD -

Dergview -

Newtowne FC 4

Groomsport 1

Newcastle 1

Dromara 2

TBD -

Institute -

Immaculata 10

Dunmurry Y.M. 0

Rathcoole 1

Lower Maze 2

TBD -

Dundela -

TBD -

Cliftonville -

Portadown -

TBD -

Glebe -

TBD -

Wakehurst -

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

Coleraine -

Knockbreda -

TBD -

Lisburn Distillery -

Dollingstown -

TBD -

Annagh -

Bangor FC -

TBD -

Coagh Utd -

Ardglass 3

Killyleagh Youth 1

Malachians 0

Comber Rec 1

TBD -

Lurgan Celtic -

Glenavon -

TBD -

Wellington Rec 2

Rosario Youth 1

Rathfern Rangers 1

Valley Rangers 3

TBD -

Harland & Wolff -

Ards -

TBD -

Donegal -

TBD -

Glentoran -

PSNI -

TBD -

Newington FC -

Queens University -

TBD -

Tobermore -

Larne -

TBD -

Limavady -

Trojans 6

Derriaghy 1

Seapatrick 0

Banbridge Rangers 2

TBD -

Loughgall -

Carrick Rangers -

TBD -

Crumlin United 9

Seagoe 1

Moneyslane FC 2

Downshire Y.M. 4

TBD -

Banbridge -

Oxford Stars 3

Larne Technical Old Boys 2

Shankill 1

St. Patricks Young 4

St. Marys 3

Downpatrick 1

Strabane Athletic 1

Ards Rangers 4

Ballyclare -

TBD -

Dundonald 10

Dunloy 2

Newry City 1

Crumlin Star 2

Dungannon -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Rathfriland Rangers 1

Crewe 0

Brantwood 2

Sirocco 3

Dunmurry Rec 5

Hanover 3

18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 1

Abbey Villa 3

TBD -

Crusaders -

1/64-finals

Linfield -

TBD -

Ballymena -

Portstewart -

TBD -

Moyola -

Lisburn Rangers 3

Tandragee 0

TBD -

Armagh -

Sport & Leisure -

TBD -

Dergview -

Newtowne FC 3

Dromara 2

TBD -

Institute -

Immaculata 4

Lower Maze 2

TBD -

Dundela -

TBD -

Cliftonville -

Portadown -

TBD -

Glebe -

TBD -

Wakehurst -

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

Coleraine -

Knockbreda -

TBD -

Lisburn Distillery -

Dollingstown -

TBD -

Annagh -

Bangor FC -

TBD -

Coagh Utd -

Ardglass 4

Comber Rec 3

TBD -

Lurgan Celtic -

Glenavon -

TBD -

Wellington Rec 2

Valley Rangers 0

TBD -

Harland & Wolff -

Ards -

TBD -

Donegal -

TBD -

Glentoran -

PSNI -

TBD -

Newington FC -

Queens University -

TBD -

Tobermore -

Larne -

TBD -

Limavady -

Trojans 5

Banbridge Rangers 1

TBD -

Loughgall -

Carrick Rangers -

TBD -

Crumlin United 3

Downshire Y.M. 2

TBD -

Banbridge -

Oxford Stars 1

St. Patricks Young 0

St. Marys 1

Ards Rangers 4

Ballyclare -

TBD -

Dundonald 0

Crumlin Star 5

Dungannon -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Rathfriland Rangers 4

Sirocco 2

Dunmurry Rec 1

Abbey Villa 2

TBD -

Crusaders -

1/32-finals

Linfield -

TBD -

Ballymena -

Portstewart 3

Moyola 1

Lisburn Rangers 0

Armagh 3

Sport & Leisure 6

Dergview 1

Newtowne FC 1

Institute 2

Immaculata 2

Dundela 0

TBD -

Cliftonville -

Portadown -

TBD -

Glebe 1

Wakehurst 2

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

Coleraine -

Knockbreda 3

Lisburn Distillery 2

Dollingstown 1

Annagh 2

Bangor FC 5

Coagh Utd 0

Ardglass 0

Lurgan Celtic 4

Glenavon -

TBD -

Wellington Rec 2

Harland & Wolff 3

Ards 7

Donegal 0

TBD -

Glentoran -

PSNI 2

Newington FC 1

Queens University 1

Tobermore 2

Larne 2

Limavady 0

Trojans 1

Loughgall 2

Carrick Rangers -

TBD -

Crumlin United 3

Banbridge 4

Oxford Stars 3

Ards Rangers 2

Ballyclare 0

Crumlin Star 1

Dungannon -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Rathfriland Rangers 4

Abbey Villa 0

TBD -

Crusaders -

1/16-finals

Linfield 2

Ballymena 1

Portstewart 2

Armagh 3

Sport & Leisure 3

Institute 2

Immaculata 0

Cliftonville 2

Portadown 6

Wakehurst 1

Ballinamallard 2

Coleraine 3

Knockbreda 5

Annagh 1

Bangor FC 1

Lurgan Celtic 2

Glenavon 4

Harland & Wolff 1

Ards 1

Glentoran 4

PSNI 2

Tobermore 0

Larne 2

Loughgall 5

Carrick Rangers 2

Banbridge 0

Oxford Stars 2

Crumlin Star 3

Dungannon 4

Warrenpoint 3

Rathfriland Rangers 0

Crusaders 3

1/8-finals

Linfield 7

Armagh 0

Sport & Leisure 0

Cliftonville 4

Portadown 3

Coleraine 1

Knockbreda 0

Lurgan Celtic 1

Glenavon 4

Glentoran 1

PSNI 0

Loughgall 2

Carrick Rangers 1

Crumlin Star 0

Dungannon 1

Crusaders 3

Quarter-finals

Linfield 3

Cliftonville 0

Portadown 2

Lurgan Celtic 3

Glenavon 2

Loughgall 1

Carrick Rangers 0

Crusaders 3

Semi-finals

Linfield 3

Lurgan Celtic 0

Glenavon 4

Crusaders 3

Final

Linfield 0

Glenavon 2

Ardstraw vs Newry City

Northern Ireland

Ardstraw

Newry City

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Ardstraw

Newry City

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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