Sport Picks
Arema FC vs FC Bhayangkara - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Indonesia
Super League Kanjuruhan Stadium, Malang 
Match Events
15'
15'
Ocampo M.
Assist: Sidibe M.
32'
32'
Ristovski M.
Assist: Sibille K.
42'
42'
MV
AI Match Summary
The Super League game between Arema FC and FC Bhayangkara finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Arema FC have managed 1.61 goals a game lately — FC Bhayangkara are scoring more at 1.79.
- Arema FC are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Arema FC Clean Sheet 17%
FC Bhayangkara Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arema FC | FC Bhayangkara |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.61 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1.54 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 10, 2026 Super League
Arema FC vs FC Bhayangkara
2:2
Mar 10, 2026 Super League
FC Bhayangkara vs Arema FC
2:1
Aug 22, 2025 Super League
Arema FC vs FC Bhayangkara
2:1
Mar 6, 2024 Super League
Arema FC vs FC Bhayangkara
0:0
Sep 1, 2023 Super League
FC Bhayangkara vs Arema FC
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Arema FC Compare
Top Goalscorer MV
1 Goals Assists Leader Samuel Otusanya
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
FC Bhayangkara Compare
Top Goalscorer Ocampo M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ristovski M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arema FC 57 / 100
FC Bhayangkara 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arema FC FC Bhayangkara
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Arema FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Bhayangkara's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.
Attacking prowess: Arema FC scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Arema FC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Arema FC VS FC Bhayangkara
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Arema FC
(Home) 18 Sept
Arema FC
1 : 1 Persik Kediri
13 Sept
PSM Makassar
3 : 3 Arema FC
04 Sept
Arema FC
4 : 0 Isenmulang Kalteng
22 Aug
RANS Nusantara
0 : 2 Arema FC
06 Aug
Persija Jakarta
3 : 1 Arema FC
Page 1 of 7
18 Sept
Arema FC
1 : 1 Persik Kediri
04 Sept
Arema FC
4 : 0 Isenmulang Kalteng
31 Jul
Arema FC
2 : 0 DPMM
22 May
Arema FC
3 : 1 PSIM Yogyakarta
09 May
Arema FC
3 : 0 PSM Makassar
Page 1 of 3
FC Bhayangkara
(Away) 19 Sept
FC Bhayangkara
2 : 0 Isenmulang Kalteng
11 Sept
Dewa United
2 : 2 FC Bhayangkara
05 Sept
FC Bhayangkara
1 : 1 Persebaya
23 May
FC Bhayangkara
7 : 0 PSBS Biak Numfor
17 May
Bali United
4 : 1 FC Bhayangkara
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Dewa United
2 : 2 FC Bhayangkara
17 May
Bali United
4 : 1 FC Bhayangkara
04 May
PSM Makassar
2 : 1 FC Bhayangkara
22 Apr
Persis Solo
2 : 1 FC Bhayangkara
11 Apr
Persijap Jepara
2 : 1 FC Bhayangkara
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persija Jakarta | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 12 |
| 2 | Dewa United | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 10 |
| 3 | Madura United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 4 | Persita | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:6 | 8 |
| 5 | Persebaya | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 8 |
| 6 | Persik Kediri | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 7 | Borneo | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 6 |
| 8 | Arema FC | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10:6 | 6 |
| 9 | FC Bhayangkara | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7:5 | 6 |
| 10 | Persib Bandung | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 11 | Bali United | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 12 | PSM Makassar | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6:8 | 2 |
| 13 | Garudayaksa | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | 2 |
| 14 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:8 | 1 |
| 15 | PSS Sleman | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | 0 |
| 16 | Persijap Jepara | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 17 | Java United | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -1 |
| 18 | Isenmulang Kalteng | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:11 | -2 |
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