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Arema FC vs Java United

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League 2025/2026 Kanjuruhan Stadium, Malang
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
26' Event
Yama H.
Assist: Gustavo Franca
42' Event
da Silva D.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2025/2026 game between Arema FC and Java United finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Arema FC
15%
Draws
46%
Java United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Java United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Java United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Super League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Arema FC Clean Sheet 13%
Java United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arema FC Java United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.47 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Super League
Arema FC vs Java United
1:1
Nov 29, 2025 Super League
Java United vs Arema FC
1:1
Mar 4, 2025 Super League
Java United vs Arema FC
2:1
Oct 19, 2024 Super League
Arema FC vs Java United
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arema FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Yama H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Java United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arema FC 30 / 100
Java United 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arema FC Java United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arema FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Arema FC scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Java United has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Arema FC has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Arema FC VS Java United
1.88 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Arema FC

(Home)
06 Aug
Persija Jakarta
3 : 1
Arema FC
04 Aug
Persebaya
1 : 0
Arema FC
31 Jul
Arema FC
2 : 0
DPMM
28 Jul
Tampines
1 : 2
Arema FC
25 Jul
Persib Bandung
1 : 0
Arema FC
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Java United

(Away)
23 May
Borneo
7 : 1
Java United
16 May
Java United
1 : 1
Persita
10 May
PSIM Yogyakarta
2 : 0
Java United
02 May
Java United
5 : 2
Persis Solo
28 Apr
PSBS Biak Numfor
0 : 7
Java United
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persib Bandung 34 24 7 3 59:22 79
2 Borneo 34 25 4 5 74:31 79
3 Persija Jakarta 34 22 5 7 65:29 71
4 Persebaya 34 16 10 8 61:35 58
5 FC Bhayangkara 34 16 5 13 53:45 53
6 Java United 34 15 8 11 68:53 53
7 Dewa United 34 16 5 13 44:37 53
8 Bali United 34 14 9 11 57:48 51
9 Arema FC 34 13 9 12 53:47 48
10 Persita 34 13 6 15 38:37 45
11 PSIM Yogyakarta 34 11 12 11 43:44 45
12 Persik Kediri 34 11 6 17 42:61 39
13 Persijap Jepara 34 9 9 16 31:45 36
14 Madura United 34 9 8 17 37:54 35
15 PSM Makassar 34 8 10 16 39:49 34
16 Persis Solo 34 8 10 16 39:59 34
17 Semen Padang 34 5 5 24 22:65 20
18 PSBS Biak Numfor 34 4 6 24 31:95 18
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)