Sport Picks
Arema FC vs Madura United
Indonesia
Super League Kanjuruhan Stadium, Malang 
Match Events
37'
37'
Iksan M.
Assist: Valdeci
43'
43'
Lulinha
46'
46'
Sub
Rizki F. In: Sasongko N.
Out: Rizki F.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Arema FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Arema FC lately — more wins on the board than Madura United.
- Model gives Arema FC a 90% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Arema FC Clean Sheet 68%
Madura United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arema FC | Madura United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 21, 2026 Super League
Madura United vs Arema FC
2:2
Dec 23, 2025 Super League
Arema FC vs Madura United
2:2
Apr 24, 2025 Super League
Arema FC vs Madura United
0:1
Nov 21, 2024 Super League
Madura United vs Arema FC
2:4
Jul 26, 2024 President Cup
Madura United vs Arema FC
0:5
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Arema FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Iksan M.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Madura United Compare
Top Goalscorer Lulinha
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arema FC 95 / 100
Madura United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arema FC Madura United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ARE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Arema FC found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Madura United let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
Solid form: Arema FC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Arema FC VS Madura United
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Arema FC
(Home) 28 Jul
Tampines
1 : 2 Arema FC
25 Jul
Persib Bandung
1 : 0 Arema FC
22 May
Arema FC
3 : 1 PSIM Yogyakarta
15 May
PSBS Biak Numfor
2 : 5 Arema FC
09 May
Arema FC
3 : 0 PSM Makassar
Page 1 of 6
22 May
Arema FC
3 : 1 PSIM Yogyakarta
09 May
Arema FC
3 : 0 PSM Makassar
28 Apr
Arema FC
0 : 4 Persebaya
18 Apr
Arema FC
2 : 0 Persis Solo
03 Apr
Arema FC
1 : 1 Malut United
Page 1 of 3
Madura United
(Away) 23 May
Madura United
2 : 0 PSM Makassar
17 May
PSIM Yogyakarta
2 : 1 Madura United
11 May
FC Bhayangkara
3 : 1 Madura United
05 May
Madura United
2 : 0 Bali United
29 Apr
Semen Padang
0 : 1 Madura United
Page 1 of 6
17 May
PSIM Yogyakarta
2 : 1 Madura United
11 May
FC Bhayangkara
3 : 1 Madura United
29 Apr
Semen Padang
0 : 1 Madura United
17 Apr
Persebaya
1 : 2 Madura United
07 Mar
Persita
4 : 1 Madura United
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persib Bandung | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 59:22 | 79 |
| 2 | Borneo | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 74:31 | 79 |
| 3 | Persija Jakarta | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 65:29 | 71 |
| 4 | Persebaya | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 61:35 | 58 |
| 5 | FC Bhayangkara | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 53:45 | 53 |
| 6 | Malut United | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 68:53 | 53 |
| 7 | Dewa United | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 44:37 | 53 |
| 8 | Bali United | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57:48 | 51 |
| 9 | Arema FC | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 53:47 | 48 |
| 10 | Persita | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 38:37 | 45 |
| 11 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 43:44 | 45 |
| 12 | Persik Kediri | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 42:61 | 39 |
| 13 | Persijap Jepara | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 31:45 | 36 |
| 14 | Madura United | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 37:54 | 35 |
| 15 | PSM Makassar | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 39:49 | 34 |
| 16 | Persis Solo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 39:59 | 34 |
| 17 | Semen Padang | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 22:65 | 20 |
| 18 | PSBS Biak Numfor | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 31:95 | 18 |
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