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Arema FC vs Persik Kediri

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League Kanjuruhan Stadium
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AI Match Summary

Arema FC play Persik Kediri in the Super League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Arema FC averaged 1.53 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. Persik Kediri averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. In past meetings, Arema FC won 1, Persik Kediri won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 3, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Arema FC and 1.44 for Persik Kediri. This points to a Arema FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Arema FC
15%
Draws
42%
Persik Kediri
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arema FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Arema FC picked up more points recently compared to Persik Kediri.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
Arema FC Clean Sheet 16%
Persik Kediri Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arema FC Persik Kediri
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.53 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Super League
Persik Kediri vs Arema FC
3:2
Jan 11, 2026 Super League
Arema FC vs Persik Kediri
2:1
May 11, 2025 Super League
Arema FC vs Persik Kediri
0:3
Dec 16, 2024 Super League
Persik Kediri vs Arema FC
1:0
Nov 27, 2023 Super League
Arema FC vs Persik Kediri
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arema FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Puleio I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Persik Kediri Compare

Top Goalscorer Supriadi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arema FC 42 / 100
Persik Kediri 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arema FC Persik Kediri

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Arema FC or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Arema FC attacking → ← attacking Persik Kediri

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arema FC scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Persik Kediri let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Arema FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Persik Kediri lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 35
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Persib Bandung34247359:2279
2Borneo34254574:3179
3Persija Jakarta34225765:2971
4Persebaya341610861:3558
5FC Bhayangkara341651353:4553
6Malut United341581168:5353
7Dewa United341651344:3753
8Bali United341491157:4851
9Arema FC341391253:4748
10Persita341361538:3745
11PSIM Yogyakarta3411121143:4445
12Persik Kediri341161742:6139
13Persijap Jepara34991631:4536
14Madura United34981737:5435
15PSM Makassar348101639:4934
16Persis Solo348101639:5934
17Semen Padang34552422:6520
18PSBS Biak Numfor34462431:9518