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Arenal vs Campos

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Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011 game between Arenal and Campos finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Campos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Arenal
20%
Draws
0%
Campos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Arenal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Arenal come out ahead of Campos on wins alone.
  • Arenal are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Arenal Clean Sheet 17%
Campos Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arenal Campos
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 4 2
Draws 7 8
Losses 18 20
Goals Scored 0.79 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.83 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Arenal vs Campos
0:3
Nov 13, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Campos vs Arenal
2:2
Feb 6, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Campos vs Arenal
1:0
Sep 26, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Arenal vs Campos
1:1
Feb 15, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Arenal vs Campos
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arenal 84 / 100
Campos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arenal Campos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arenal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Campos let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Campos's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Arenal's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Arenal VS Campos
0.33 Goals Scored 1.13
1.67 Goals Conceded 1.75
67% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arenal

(Home)
12 Sept
Arenal
1 : 2
Alcudia
05 Sept
Constancia
3 : 0
Arenal
11 May
Llosetense
3 : 0
Arenal
05 May
Arenal
2 : 2
Alcudia
01 May
Soller
3 : 3
Arenal
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Campos

(Away)
11 May
Campos
1 : 2
Mercadal
07 May
Penya Independent
6 : 0
Campos
24 Apr
Campos
1 : 2
Platges de Calvia
16 Apr
Constancia
3 : 0
Campos
12 Apr
Campos
1 : 4
Porreres
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manacor 38 23 10 5 51:23 79
2 UD Poblense 38 24 6 8 71:44 78
3 Constancia 38 23 9 6 62:25 78
4 Binissalem 38 22 10 6 63:30 76
5 Llosetense 38 23 6 9 70:44 75
6 Pena Deportiva 38 19 12 7 53:25 69
7 Santanyi 38 18 9 11 53:43 63
8 El Espinar Sant Rafel 38 12 18 8 47:36 54
9 Mercadal 38 14 10 14 55:45 52
10 Collerense 38 12 11 15 40:49 47
11 CD Montuiri 38 13 7 18 46:58 46
12 Ferriolense 38 12 8 18 48:55 44
13 Campos 38 10 14 14 43:52 44
14 Alcudia 38 11 10 17 43:61 43
15 Felanitx 38 11 9 18 36:56 42
16 CD Ferrerias 38 10 11 17 41:51 41
17 Alaior 38 10 8 20 35:61 38
18 Penya Arrabal 38 8 3 27 45:78 27
19 Norteno CF 38 7 6 25 24:56 27
20 Arenal 38 6 7 25 32:66 25
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)